**Current forecasts for Jeddah on September 17 converge on a daily maximum near 37°C under mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 36–38°C.** Recent observations show September highs frequently reaching 37–40°C amid typical late-summer Red Sea heat and moderate humidity, with no significant synoptic systems or monsoon influences expected to alter the pattern. Model consensus indicates stable subsidence and sea-breeze moderation that caps extreme peaks while preventing notable cooling, producing the narrow 1–2°C spread reflected in trader probabilities. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation, local wind shifts, and any thin cloud development that could trim the maximum by 1°C or allow a brief spike above 38°C. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於吉達9月17日的最高溫度?
37°C 30%
38°C 23%
36°C 20%
39°C或以上 19%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
9%
36°C
20%
37°C
30%
38°C
23%
39°C或以上
19%
37°C 30%
38°C 23%
36°C 20%
39°C或以上 19%
29°C或以下
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
4%
35°C
9%
36°C
20%
37°C
30%
38°C
23%
39°C或以上
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts for Jeddah on September 17 converge on a daily maximum near 37°C under mostly sunny skies with light westerly winds, aligning with the market's tight clustering around 36–38°C.** Recent observations show September highs frequently reaching 37–40°C amid typical late-summer Red Sea heat and moderate humidity, with no significant synoptic systems or monsoon influences expected to alter the pattern. Model consensus indicates stable subsidence and sea-breeze moderation that caps extreme peaks while preventing notable cooling, producing the narrow 1–2°C spread reflected in trader probabilities. Minor differences among leading outcomes hinge on exact timing of peak insolation, local wind shifts, and any thin cloud development that could trim the maximum by 1°C or allow a brief spike above 38°C. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will likely narrow resolution criteria further.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions