**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 10 maximum temperature because current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project daytime highs of 30–33°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies.** Jinan’s mid-August climatology features average highs near 31–33°C, and the region remains under a broader heat pattern that has produced repeated readings above 35°C in northern Shandong earlier in the month. Recent observational trends and model runs show no significant cooling mechanism—such as a strong frontal passage or widespread cloud cover—expected through the forecast window. While forecast uncertainty exists and localized convective activity could modestly suppress the peak, the probability of temperatures falling below 26°C remains low given the current atmospheric setup and seasonal baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月10日濟南氣溫最高？
8月10日濟南氣溫最高？
26°C或更高 99.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
16°C或以下
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C或更高
99%
26°C或更高 99.0%
16°C或以下 <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
16°C或以下
$255 交易量
1%
17°C
$250 交易量
1%
18°C
$255 交易量
1%
19°C
$250 交易量
1%
20°C
$301 交易量
<1%
21°C
$51 交易量
1%
22°C
$50 交易量
1%
23°C
$45 交易量
1%
24°C
$167 交易量
1%
25°C
$127 交易量
<1%
26°C或更高
$600 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 10 maximum temperature because current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project daytime highs of 30–33°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies.** Jinan’s mid-August climatology features average highs near 31–33°C, and the region remains under a broader heat pattern that has produced repeated readings above 35°C in northern Shandong earlier in the month. Recent observational trends and model runs show no significant cooling mechanism—such as a strong frontal passage or widespread cloud cover—expected through the forecast window. While forecast uncertainty exists and localized convective activity could modestly suppress the peak, the probability of temperatures falling below 26°C remains low given the current atmospheric setup and seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$2,351結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 10 maximum temperature because current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project daytime highs of 30–33°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies.** Jinan’s mid-August climatology features average highs near 31–33°C, and the region remains under a broader heat pattern that has produced repeated readings above 35°C in northern Shandong earlier in the month. Recent observational trends and model runs show no significant cooling mechanism—such as a strong frontal passage or widespread cloud cover—expected through the forecast window. While forecast uncertainty exists and localized convective activity could modestly suppress the peak, the probability of temperatures falling below 26°C remains low given the current atmospheric setup and seasonal baseline.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,351結束日期
2026-08-10市場開放時間
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET**Trader consensus heavily favors 26°C or higher for Jinan’s August 10 maximum temperature because current ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models project daytime highs of 30–33°C under persistent high-pressure conditions and mostly clear skies.** Jinan’s mid-August climatology features average highs near 31–33°C, and the region remains under a broader heat pattern that has produced repeated readings above 35°C in northern Shandong earlier in the month. Recent observational trends and model runs show no significant cooling mechanism—such as a strong frontal passage or widespread cloud cover—expected through the forecast window. While forecast uncertainty exists and localized convective activity could modestly suppress the peak, the probability of temperatures falling below 26°C remains low given the current atmospheric setup and seasonal baseline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions