Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於4月28日拉各斯的最高溫度？
4月28日拉各斯的最高溫度？
27°C或以下 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$58,827 交易量
$58,827 交易量
2026-04-28
27°C或以下
是
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或以上
否
27°C或以下 100.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$58,827 交易量
$58,827 交易量
2026-04-28
27°C或以下
$16,078 交易量
是
28°C
$4,104 交易量
否
29°C
$3,078 交易量
否
30°C
$2,648 交易量
否
31°C
$1,496 交易量
否
32°C
$1,618 交易量
否
33°C
$6,875 交易量
否
34°C
$9,111 交易量
否
35°C
$6,236 交易量
否
36°C
$4,983 交易量
否
37°C或以上
$2,599 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$58,827結束日期
2026-04-28市場開放時間
Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$58,827結束日期
2026-04-28市場開放時間
Apr 26, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提議結果: 是
無爭議
最終結果: 是
Official measurements from the Murtala Muhammed International Airport station—the market's resolution source—confirm Lagos's highest temperature on April 28, 2026, reached 27°C or below, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for that outcome. This unusually low reading for late April, when climatological averages hover around 32–33°C, stems from persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and early rainy season onset reported by the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), suppressing daytime heating despite typical harmattan haze dissipation. Model forecasts had anticipated 32–34°C, but real-time METAR observations captured the cooler reality. Realistic challenges are minimal post-verification, though rare instrument recalibrations or data disputes could prompt review; traders await NiMet's final daily summary for closure.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions