Trader consensus tilts toward mild warmth in the low 70s°F for Los Angeles's highest temperature on March 26, driven by NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on peaks of 70-73°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, tempered by moderate onshore breezes from the Pacific. Recent GFS model updates show a slight uptick to 72-73°F by afternoon, boosting that bin's edge over 70-71°F, while historical March data at LAX (averaging 69-72°F highs) and urban heat island effects add a 1-2°F premium downtown. Key differentiator: marine layer persistence—thicker stratus could cap at 70-71°F, per satellite imagery, versus clearer skies favoring 72-73°F; monitor 18Z model runs for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 26?
72-73°F 21%
82-83°F 16.4%
70-71°F 15%
74-75°F 14%
$13,439 交易量
$13,439 交易量
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
72-73°F 21%
82-83°F 16.4%
70-71°F 15%
74-75°F 14%
$13,439 交易量
$13,439 交易量
67°F or below
5%
68-69°F
6%
70-71°F
15%
72-73°F
21%
74-75°F
14%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
3%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
2%
86°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus tilts toward mild warmth in the low 70s°F for Los Angeles's highest temperature on March 26, driven by NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts converging on peaks of 70-73°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Southwest, tempered by moderate onshore breezes from the Pacific. Recent GFS model updates show a slight uptick to 72-73°F by afternoon, boosting that bin's edge over 70-71°F, while historical March data at LAX (averaging 69-72°F highs) and urban heat island effects add a 1-2°F premium downtown. Key differentiator: marine layer persistence—thicker stratus could cap at 70-71°F, per satellite imagery, versus clearer skies favoring 72-73°F; monitor 18Z model runs for shifts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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