Forecast models for Lucknow show high uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 22, with ensemble runs from global and regional systems producing maximum temperatures clustered tightly between 31–33 °C under typical late-monsoon conditions. Moisture from the Bay of Bengal, variable cloud cover, and the position of the monsoon trough are the dominant variables modulating surface energy balance and preventing stronger warming or rapid cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds for 31 °C and 32 °C underscores this narrow spread, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or 34 °C capture the tail risks if convective activity strengthens or clears earlier than expected. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine the most probable outcome before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月22日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
20%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 34%
31°C 29%
33°C 20%
30°C 10%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
34%
33°C
20%
34°C
7%
35°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 20, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models for Lucknow show high uncertainty in peak daytime heating on August 22, with ensemble runs from global and regional systems producing maximum temperatures clustered tightly between 31–33 °C under typical late-monsoon conditions. Moisture from the Bay of Bengal, variable cloud cover, and the position of the monsoon trough are the dominant variables modulating surface energy balance and preventing stronger warming or rapid cooling. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even odds for 31 °C and 32 °C underscores this narrow spread, while lower probabilities for 30 °C or 34 °C capture the tail risks if convective activity strengthens or clears earlier than expected. Updated model runs and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will likely refine the most probable outcome before market resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions