Forecast models from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 19 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, high humidity near 60–70%, and a 40–60% chance of thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 32–34°C amid variable steering winds and moisture from the Bay of Bengal, creating narrow margins between these outcomes. Minor differences in model timing for convective activity or breaks in cloud cover account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–34°C, with traders weighing official guidance updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月19日勒克瑙的最高溫度?
32°C 34%
30°C 29%
33°C 29%
31°C 23%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
29%
31°C
23%
32°C
34%
33°C
33%
34°C
18%
35°C
23%
36°C或更高
<1%
32°C 34%
30°C 29%
33°C 29%
31°C 23%
26°C或以下
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
10%
30°C
29%
31°C
23%
32°C
34%
33°C
33%
34°C
18%
35°C
23%
36°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 19 will likely fall in the 32–33°C range, reflecting typical late-monsoon conditions with scattered cloud cover, high humidity near 60–70%, and a 40–60% chance of thunderstorms that can suppress peak heating. Recent observations show daily highs fluctuating between 32–34°C amid variable steering winds and moisture from the Bay of Bengal, creating narrow margins between these outcomes. Minor differences in model timing for convective activity or breaks in cloud cover account for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 31–34°C, with traders weighing official guidance updates expected in the next 24–48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions