Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 61.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-monsoon conditions feature elevated humidity around 80%, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light afternoon drizzle or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima. Light westerly winds and residual moisture from the retreating monsoon further moderate temperatures compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. Historical September averages near 33–34°C provide context, but today's observed pattern of morning clearing followed by afternoon overcast conditions supports the trader consensus around 32°C as the most likely official high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月18日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
9月18日勒克瑙的最高溫度？
32°C 49%
31°C 37%
30°C 8.0%
33°C 7%
$20,082 交易量
$20,082 交易量
2026-09-18
27°C或以下
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
8%
31°C
37%
32°C
49%
33°C
7%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C或更高
<1%
32°C 49%
31°C 37%
30°C 8.0%
33°C 7%
$20,082 交易量
$20,082 交易量
2026-09-18
27°C或以下
$219 交易量
<1%
28°C
$169 交易量
<1%
29°C
$469 交易量
<1%
30°C
$1,143 交易量
8%
31°C
$1,027 交易量
37%
32°C
$3,590 交易量
49%
33°C
$7,902 交易量
7%
34°C
$3,634 交易量
<1%
35°C
$1,200 交易量
<1%
36°C
$374 交易量
<1%
37°C或更高
$356 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 61.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-monsoon conditions feature elevated humidity around 80%, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light afternoon drizzle or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima. Light westerly winds and residual moisture from the retreating monsoon further moderate temperatures compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. Historical September averages near 33–34°C provide context, but today's observed pattern of morning clearing followed by afternoon overcast conditions supports the trader consensus around 32°C as the most likely official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$20,082結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 61.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-monsoon conditions feature elevated humidity around 80%, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light afternoon drizzle or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima. Light westerly winds and residual moisture from the retreating monsoon further moderate temperatures compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. Historical September averages near 33–34°C provide context, but today's observed pattern of morning clearing followed by afternoon overcast conditions supports the trader consensus around 32°C as the most likely official high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$20,082結束日期
2026-09-18市場開放時間
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent official forecasts from the India Meteorological Department and multiple models indicate a peak temperature near 32°C in Lucknow on September 18, 2026, aligning with the market's strong 61.5% implied probability for that exact outcome. Late-monsoon conditions feature elevated humidity around 80%, increasing cloud cover, and a chance of light afternoon drizzle or thunderstorms that limit solar heating and cap daytime maxima. Light westerly winds and residual moisture from the retreating monsoon further moderate temperatures compared to drier pre-monsoon periods. Historical September averages near 33–34°C provide context, but today's observed pattern of morning clearing followed by afternoon overcast conditions supports the trader consensus around 32°C as the most likely official high.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions