Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate a maximum of 30°C in Manila on September 9 amid southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting solar heating. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach 30–31°C but often fall short during active monsoon periods due to reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 30°C reflects these official guidance and recent observations showing maxima near 28–30°C. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow 31°C or higher, while heavier localized rain might cap the reading below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
9月9日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
23°C或以下 <1%
$28,119 交易量
$28,119 交易量
2026-09-09
23°C或以下
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
99%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C或更高
<1%
30°C 99.4%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
23°C或以下 <1%
$28,119 交易量
$28,119 交易量
2026-09-09
23°C或以下
$240 交易量
<1%
24°C
$240 交易量
<1%
25°C
$805 交易量
<1%
26°C
$3,743 交易量
<1%
27°C
$6,808 交易量
<1%
28°C
$3,922 交易量
<1%
29°C
$3,559 交易量
<1%
30°C
$3,940 交易量
99%
31°C
$2,360 交易量
1%
32°C
$1,346 交易量
1%
33°C或更高
$1,155 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate a maximum of 30°C in Manila on September 9 amid southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting solar heating. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach 30–31°C but often fall short during active monsoon periods due to reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 30°C reflects these official guidance and recent observations showing maxima near 28–30°C. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow 31°C or higher, while heavier localized rain might cap the reading below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$28,119結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate a maximum of 30°C in Manila on September 9 amid southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting solar heating. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach 30–31°C but often fall short during active monsoon periods due to reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 30°C reflects these official guidance and recent observations showing maxima near 28–30°C. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow 31°C or higher, while heavier localized rain might cap the reading below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,119結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:58 AM ETCurrent forecasts from PAGASA and other models indicate a maximum of 30°C in Manila on September 9 amid southwest monsoon conditions, with widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity limiting solar heating. This aligns with September climatology, where average highs reach 30–31°C but often fall short during active monsoon periods due to reduced insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall. Trader consensus at 99.4% for 30°C reflects these official guidance and recent observations showing maxima near 28–30°C. Clearer skies or a temporary monsoon break could allow 31°C or higher, while heavier localized rain might cap the reading below the threshold.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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