Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 82-83°F (29% implied probability) as Miami's projected high on March 28, with closely trailing 80-81°F (25%) and 84-85°F (23.5%) reflecting model spread under a strengthening subtropical ridge. This high-pressure system aloft elevates geopotential heights 100-200 meters above normal, fostering 3-5°F above the late-March climatological average of ~79°F, while coastal sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty—earlier onshore flow caps peaks at 80-81°F, delayed penetration allows 84-85°F spikes. Low soil moisture from recent dry spells amplifies diurnal heating, differentiating bins; traders await 00z model updates for refined convective outlooks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月28日邁阿密的最高溫度?
3月28日邁阿密的最高溫度?
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 12%
華氏73度或以下
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
8%
92°F或更高
2%
82-83°F 30%
80-81°F 26%
84-85°F 24%
86-87°F 12%
華氏73度或以下
2%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
24%
86-87°F
12%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
8%
92°F或更高
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts drive trader consensus toward 82-83°F (29% implied probability) as Miami's projected high on March 28, with closely trailing 80-81°F (25%) and 84-85°F (23.5%) reflecting model spread under a strengthening subtropical ridge. This high-pressure system aloft elevates geopotential heights 100-200 meters above normal, fostering 3-5°F above the late-March climatological average of ~79°F, while coastal sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty—earlier onshore flow caps peaks at 80-81°F, delayed penetration allows 84-85°F spikes. Low soil moisture from recent dry spells amplifies diurnal heating, differentiating bins; traders await 00z model updates for refined convective outlooks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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