Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 19?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 19?
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$79,396 交易量
$79,396 交易量
2026-04-19
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
17°C or below <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$79,396 交易量
$79,396 交易量
2026-04-19
17°C or below
$1,799 交易量
No
18°C
$1,925 交易量
No
19°C
$2,503 交易量
No
20°C
$3,608 交易量
No
21°C
$6,527 交易量
No
22°C
$12,919 交易量
No
23°C
$12,479 交易量
No
24°C
$13,800 交易量
Yes
25°C
$13,721 交易量
No
26°C
$5,227 交易量
No
27°C or higher
$4,888 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
交易量
$79,396結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$79,396結束日期
2026-04-19市場開放時間
Apr 17, 2026, 12:33 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Official observations from Milano Linate Airport station—the market's designated resolution source via Weather Underground—confirm a maximum temperature of 24°C on April 19, driving the 100% trader consensus on this outcome amid a high-pressure ridge that delivered clear skies, light winds, and above-average warmth for mid-April (climatological high around 18°C). Ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS had clustered probabilities around 21-24°C in the days prior, aligning with observed conditions of peaking heat in the early afternoon, as corroborated by nearby stations like Osservatorio Meteorologico Milano Duomo recording 22.4°C mid-day. This skin-in-the-game positioning leaves negligible room for other outcomes, though a rare post hoc data revision from ARPA Lombardia audits could theoretically challenge it if an undocumented higher reading emerges. Final daily reports expected within 48 hours.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions