**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.** This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於6月14日紐約市的最高溫度？
6月14日紐約市的最高溫度？
90-91°F 100.0%
華氏83度或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$85,507 交易量
$85,507 交易量
2026-06-14
華氏83度或以下
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90-91°F
是
92-93°F
否
94-95°F
否
96-97°F
否
98-99°F
否
華氏100-101度
否
華氏102度或以上
否
90-91°F 100.0%
華氏83度或以下 <1%
84-85°F <1%
86-87°F <1%
$85,507 交易量
$85,507 交易量
2026-06-14
華氏83度或以下
$3,925 交易量
否
84-85°F
$6,244 交易量
否
86-87°F
$17,856 交易量
否
88-89°F
$15,691 交易量
否
90-91°F
$19,158 交易量
是
92-93°F
$8,782 交易量
否
94-95°F
$8,714 交易量
否
96-97°F
$2,565 交易量
否
98-99°F
$1,458 交易量
否
華氏100-101度
$572 交易量
否
華氏102度或以上
$541 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.**
This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$85,507結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.**
This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty.
A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$85,507結束日期
2026-06-14市場開放時間
Jun 12, 2026, 9:03 PM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Trader consensus on Polymarket has converged at 100% implied probability for a 90-91°F high in Central Park on June 14, 2026, reflecting the official National Weather Service observation from the KNYC station.** This outcome aligns with a late-spring warm surge across the Northeast, where southerly flow and clear skies under a building ridge allowed daytime temperatures to climb into the low 90s, exceeding seasonal normals of roughly 78-80°F. Model guidance from the National Weather Service in the days leading up to the event consistently pointed to this range, with minimal spread among forecasts once the pattern locked in. The market's near-certain positioning captures the final verified maximum rather than lingering uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision to the official Central Park reading outside 90-91°F due to quality control or instrumentation review, though such adjustments are rare once preliminary data are confirmed.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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