Trader sentiment clusters around 50-55°F highs for New York City on March 29, with the 50-51°F (26.5%) and 52-53°F (23.5%) bins leading due to National Weather Service forecast guidance showing ensemble model means near 51°F amid a cool mid-level trough over the Northeast. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs indicate light variability from lingering cloud cover and weak onshore flow, limiting warm sector influence while preventing deeper cold snaps below 48°F. Climatological normals for late March average 52°F, aligning with this tight range, though slight model disagreements on diurnal heating could tip outcomes. New 12Z forecasts expected midday may refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on March 29?
52-53°F 27%
50-51°F 27%
48-49°F 21%
47°F or below 13%
47°F or below
13%
48-49°F
21%
50-51°F
27%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
9%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66°F or higher
2%
52-53°F 27%
50-51°F 27%
48-49°F 21%
47°F or below 13%
47°F or below
13%
48-49°F
21%
50-51°F
27%
52-53°F
25%
54-55°F
14%
56-57°F
9%
58-59°F
8%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
2%
66°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters around 50-55°F highs for New York City on March 29, with the 50-51°F (26.5%) and 52-53°F (23.5%) bins leading due to National Weather Service forecast guidance showing ensemble model means near 51°F amid a cool mid-level trough over the Northeast. Recent 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs indicate light variability from lingering cloud cover and weak onshore flow, limiting warm sector influence while preventing deeper cold snaps below 48°F. Climatological normals for late March average 52°F, aligning with this tight range, though slight model disagreements on diurnal heating could tip outcomes. New 12Z forecasts expected midday may refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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