Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Denver's highest temperature on March 29, with 76-77°F (21%) and 80-81°F (20.4%) leading due to a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Rockies promoting sunny skies and adiabatic warming at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation. Latest 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours cluster ensemble means near 77°F, but diverge on ridge amplitude—stronger builds favor 80°F+ via chinook-like downslope flow, while slight weakening introduces mid-level clouds capping highs at 74-77°F. Low dewpoints (teens) enable rapid diurnal heating from projected morning lows near 40°F. National Weather Service updates expected midday could refine this, as historical March analogs show 2-5°F spreads in similar setups.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
Highest temperature in Denver on March 29?
74-75°F 32%
76-77°F 21%
80-81°F 19.8%
84°F or higher 18%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
12%
74-75°F 32%
76-77°F 21%
80-81°F 19.8%
84°F or higher 18%
65°F or below
2%
66-67°F
7%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
17%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
20%
82-83°F
9%
84°F or higher
12%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:16 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Denver's highest temperature on March 29, with 76-77°F (21%) and 80-81°F (20.4%) leading due to a persistent high-pressure ridge over the Rockies promoting sunny skies and adiabatic warming at Denver's 5,280-foot elevation. Latest 00Z GFS and ECMWF runs from the past 24 hours cluster ensemble means near 77°F, but diverge on ridge amplitude—stronger builds favor 80°F+ via chinook-like downslope flow, while slight weakening introduces mid-level clouds capping highs at 74-77°F. Low dewpoints (teens) enable rapid diurnal heating from projected morning lows near 40°F. National Weather Service updates expected midday could refine this, as historical March analogs show 2-5°F spreads in similar setups.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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