Trader sentiment favors 17°C (29%) and 16°C (27%) as Shanghai's March 26 high temperature, propelled by latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on 16-17°C amid a mild late-winter setup with overnight lows around 10°C and light southerly winds. Key differentiators include solar insolation driving peak afternoon heating—partly cloudy conditions could cap at 16°C if haze persists, while clearer skies boost to 17-18°C via enhanced shortwave radiation. Shanghai's urban heat island adds 1-2°C above rural baselines, aligning with historical March 26 averages of 16.5°C from local meteorological records. Model spread reflects uncertainty in diurnal temperature range, with official China Meteorological Administration updates pivotal for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 26?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on March 26?
17°C 29%
16°C 27%
18°C 16%
19°C 13%
$31,457 交易量
$31,457 交易量
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
16%
19°C
13%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
17°C 29%
16°C 27%
18°C 16%
19°C 13%
$31,457 交易量
$31,457 交易量
12°C or below
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
9%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
16%
19°C
13%
20°C
3%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:18 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment favors 17°C (29%) and 16°C (27%) as Shanghai's March 26 high temperature, propelled by latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models converging on 16-17°C amid a mild late-winter setup with overnight lows around 10°C and light southerly winds. Key differentiators include solar insolation driving peak afternoon heating—partly cloudy conditions could cap at 16°C if haze persists, while clearer skies boost to 17-18°C via enhanced shortwave radiation. Shanghai's urban heat island adds 1-2°C above rural baselines, aligning with historical March 26 averages of 16.5°C from local meteorological records. Model spread reflects uncertainty in diurnal temperature range, with official China Meteorological Administration updates pivotal for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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