Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 74-77°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 29, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of a high near 77°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and sunny skies, which favors above-normal warmth beyond the typical late-March average of 70°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight spread in the mid-70s, with minor differences arising from overnight marine layer persistence—prolonged coastal stratus could limit peaks to 74-75°F via evaporative cooling, while early clearing allows 76-77°F. No active troughs or fronts threaten, but watch for the NWS 10 a.m. PT update and evening model refresh for potential refinements amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on March 29?
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 13%
78-79°F 12%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
11%
84°F or higher
6%
76-77°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
72-73°F 13%
78-79°F 12%
65°F or below
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
11%
72-73°F
15%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
11%
84°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 74-77°F for Los Angeles' highest temperature on March 29, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecast of a high near 77°F under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and sunny skies, which favors above-normal warmth beyond the typical late-March average of 70°F. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show tight spread in the mid-70s, with minor differences arising from overnight marine layer persistence—prolonged coastal stratus could limit peaks to 74-75°F via evaporative cooling, while early clearing allows 76-77°F. No active troughs or fronts threaten, but watch for the NWS 10 a.m. PT update and evening model refresh for potential refinements amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions