Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a high near 78-79°F (34%) for Miami on March 29, closely trailed by 76-77°F (25.5%), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of 78-80°F under partly sunny skies with light winds. Recent model runs show tight agreement among GFS, ECMWF, and European ensembles around 77-79°F, influenced by lingering cool air from a midweek front but moderated by warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 78°F and weak sea breeze effects. Differentiating factors include potential for increased afternoon clouds capping highs at 76-77°F versus clearer skies pushing to 79-80°F; historical March late averages of 79°F align with this range. Updated 00Z forecasts expected overnight could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on March 29?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 29?
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 15%
82-83°F 13%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
78-79°F 34%
76-77°F 26%
80-81°F 15%
82-83°F 13%
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
26%
78-79°F
34%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
13%
84-85°F
7%
86-87°F
7%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a high near 78-79°F (34%) for Miami on March 29, closely trailed by 76-77°F (25.5%), reflecting National Weather Service forecasts of 78-80°F under partly sunny skies with light winds. Recent model runs show tight agreement among GFS, ECMWF, and European ensembles around 77-79°F, influenced by lingering cool air from a midweek front but moderated by warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures near 78°F and weak sea breeze effects. Differentiating factors include potential for increased afternoon clouds capping highs at 76-77°F versus clearer skies pushing to 79-80°F; historical March late averages of 79°F align with this range. Updated 00Z forecasts expected overnight could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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