Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 7°C high in Munich on March 29 at 26% implied probability, closely trailed by 8°C and 9°C, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating a daytime maximum in the 6–9°C range amid persistent northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover. Cool continental air masses, steered by a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia, have suppressed temperatures across Central Europe, with recent model runs showing minimal daytime heating due to low sun angles and overcast conditions—late March climatology typically sees highs near 11°C, but this setup caps potential. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and cloud opacity: thinner clouds could nudge toward 9°C, while thicker overcast favors 6°C or below. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours may refine this tight spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Munich on March 29?
Highest temperature in Munich on March 29?
7°C 27%
8°C 25%
9°C 19%
6°C 18%
2°C or below
2%
3°C
7%
4°C
17%
5°C
17%
6°C
19%
7°C
27%
8°C
20%
9°C
19%
10°C
11%
11°C
10%
12°C or higher
3%
7°C 27%
8°C 25%
9°C 19%
6°C 18%
2°C or below
2%
3°C
7%
4°C
17%
5°C
17%
6°C
19%
7°C
27%
8°C
20%
9°C
19%
10°C
11%
11°C
10%
12°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a 7°C high in Munich on March 29 at 26% implied probability, closely trailed by 8°C and 9°C, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF ensemble forecasts indicating a daytime maximum in the 6–9°C range amid persistent northerly airflow and widespread cloud cover. Cool continental air masses, steered by a high-pressure ridge over Scandinavia, have suppressed temperatures across Central Europe, with recent model runs showing minimal daytime heating due to low sun angles and overcast conditions—late March climatology typically sees highs near 11°C, but this setup caps potential. Key differentiators include boundary layer mixing and cloud opacity: thinner clouds could nudge toward 9°C, while thicker overcast favors 6°C or below. New GFS and ECMWF updates expected within 24 hours may refine this tight spread.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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