Market icon

3月31日紐約市的最高溫度？

Market icon

3月31日紐約市的最高溫度？

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 31

華氏74度或以上 31%

72-73°F 16%

68-69°F 10.0%

70-71°F 5.6%

Polymarket
NEW

華氏74度或以上 31%

72-73°F 16%

68-69°F 10.0%

70-71°F 5.6%

Polymarket
NEW

華氏55度或以下

$766 交易量

1%

56-57°F

$1,291 交易量

1%

58-59°F

$567 交易量

2%

60-61°F

$447 交易量

2%

62-63°F

$155 交易量

2%

64-65°F

$139 交易量

4%

66-67°F

$98 交易量

4%

68-69°F

$552 交易量

10%

70-71°F

$904 交易量

6%

72-73°F

$1,202 交易量

16%

華氏74度或以上

$2,027 交易量

31%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 73°F at Central Park on March 31, anchoring trader sentiment with 74°F or higher leading at 45.5% market-implied probability, closely trailed by 72-73°F at 22% and 70-71°F at 19.5%. This reflects a potent upper-level ridge promoting warm air advection from the subtropical southeast, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles over the past 24 hours converging on above-normal readings amid sunny skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty in peak heating, but recent runs have trended slightly warmer; updated model output and NWS bulletins due this evening could refine these odds further. March climatology averages 52°F, highlighting the setup's anomaly.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,150
結束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市場開放時間
Mar 27, 2026, 6:01 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The National Weather Service's latest guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 73°F at Central Park on March 31, anchoring trader sentiment with 74°F or higher leading at 45.5% market-implied probability, closely trailed by 72-73°F at 22% and 70-71°F at 19.5%. This reflects a potent upper-level ridge promoting warm air advection from the subtropical southeast, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles over the past 24 hours converging on above-normal readings amid sunny skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty in peak heating, but recent runs have trended slightly warmer; updated model output and NWS bulletins due this evening could refine these odds further. March climatology averages 52°F, highlighting the setup's anomaly.

The National Weather Service's latest guidance for New York City forecasts a high near 73°F at Central Park on March 31, anchoring trader sentiment with 74°F or higher leading at 45.5% market-implied probability, closely trailed by 72-73°F at 22% and 70-71°F at 19.5%. This reflects a potent upper-level ridge promoting warm air advection from the subtropical southeast, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles over the past 24 hours converging on above-normal readings amid sunny skies and light winds. Ensemble spreads indicate modest uncertainty in peak heating, but recent runs have trended slightly warmer; updated model output and NWS bulletins due this evening could refine these odds further. March climatology averages 52°F, highlighting the setup's anomaly.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"3月31日紐約市的最高溫度？" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "華氏74度或以上" at 31%, followed by "72-73°F" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"3月31日紐約市的最高溫度？" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Mar 27, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "3月31日紐約市的最高溫度？," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "3月31日紐約市的最高溫度？" is "華氏74度或以上" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "72-73°F" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "3月31日紐約市的最高溫度？" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.