Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 17°C and 18°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on March 27, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 17-19°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly flows. Late March climatology shows average highs near 16°C, but anomalously warm sea surface temperatures in the East China Sea and reduced cloud cover elevate odds for these outcomes, with 17°C favored if partial cloudiness caps solar heating and 18°C if clearer skies prevail. Ensemble model spreads of ±1°C underscore uncertainty from jet stream positioning, with final 12z updates pivotal for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於3月27日東京氣溫最高?
3月27日東京氣溫最高?
17°C 30%
18°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 14%
11°C或以下
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
17%
17°C
30%
18°C
28%
19°C
14%
20°C
7%
21°C或以上
3%
17°C 30%
18°C 28%
16°C 17%
19°C 14%
11°C或以下
2%
12°C
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
7%
16°C
17%
17°C
30%
18°C
28%
19°C
14%
20°C
7%
21°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 17°C and 18°C as the highest temperature in Tokyo on March 27, driven by Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS projecting peaks of 17-19°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge fostering mild southerly flows. Late March climatology shows average highs near 16°C, but anomalously warm sea surface temperatures in the East China Sea and reduced cloud cover elevate odds for these outcomes, with 17°C favored if partial cloudiness caps solar heating and 18°C if clearer skies prevail. Ensemble model spreads of ±1°C underscore uncertainty from jet stream positioning, with final 12z updates pivotal for resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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