Recent observational data from Paris weather stations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning closely with National Meteorological Service guidance and multiple forecast model runs. This outcome reflects typical mid-September conditions, with the peak occurring in the afternoon before gradual cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C rests on verified measurements rather than projections. Minor revisions remain possible if final official tallies adjust for station-specific timing or localized variations, though such shifts are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日巴黎最高溫度?
25°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$55,475 交易量
$55,475 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
25°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$55,475 交易量
$55,475 交易量
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Recent observational data from Paris weather stations confirm a daily maximum of 25°C under clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and stable high pressure, aligning closely with National Meteorological Service guidance and multiple forecast model runs. This outcome reflects typical mid-September conditions, with the peak occurring in the afternoon before gradual cooling. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for 25°C rests on verified measurements rather than projections. Minor revisions remain possible if final official tallies adjust for station-specific timing or localized variations, though such shifts are rare once preliminary readings stabilize.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions