Trader consensus clusters around 68-73°F for San Francisco's March 26 high temperature, reflecting latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 69-71°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge offshore that limits cool marine layer intrusion. This setup promotes earlier fog burn-off and advection of warmer inland air, pushing peaks above the late-March climatological average of 62°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea-breeze timing—earlier onshore flow caps 68-69°F odds, while delayed winds boost 72-73°F potential—and subtle jet stream ridging variations. Historical precedents show similar patterns yielding 2-5°F anomalies, with resolution hinging on SFO airport observations by midnight UTC.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 26?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 26?
64-65°F 28%
66-67°F 26%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 21%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
24%
74°F or higher
13%
64-65°F 28%
66-67°F 26%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 21%
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
3%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
8%
62-63°F
9%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
19%
68-69°F
22%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
24%
74°F or higher
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:12 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 68-73°F for San Francisco's March 26 high temperature, reflecting latest NOAA and ECMWF ensemble forecasts averaging 69-71°F amid a strengthening high-pressure ridge offshore that limits cool marine layer intrusion. This setup promotes earlier fog burn-off and advection of warmer inland air, pushing peaks above the late-March climatological average of 62°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon sea-breeze timing—earlier onshore flow caps 68-69°F odds, while delayed winds boost 72-73°F potential—and subtle jet stream ridging variations. Historical precedents show similar patterns yielding 2-5°F anomalies, with resolution hinging on SFO airport observations by midnight UTC.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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