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Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?

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Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 29

46-47°F 33.0%

48-49°F 24%

50-51°F 15%

44-45°F 11.0%

Polymarket

$14,609 交易量

46-47°F 33.0%

48-49°F 24%

50-51°F 15%

44-45°F 11.0%

Polymarket

$14,609 交易量

37°F or below

$3,990 交易量

<1%

38-39°F

$1,221 交易量

1%

40-41°F

$572 交易量

<1%

42-43°F

$632 交易量

3%

44-45°F

$628 交易量

11%

46-47°F

$885 交易量

33%

48-49°F

$671 交易量

24%

50-51°F

$832 交易量

15%

52-53°F

$1,655 交易量

7%

54-55°F

$1,619 交易量

3%

56°F or higher

$1,903 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 46-47°F (37.4% implied probability), aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing a mostly cloudy day with onshore flow from the Pacific suppressing highs amid a cool marine layer. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours clusters around 46-49°F, down from earlier warmer outlooks due to persistent low pressure over the coastal Northwest and reduced solar insolation from stratus clouds. March climatology averages 54°F, but current temperature anomalies of -4 to -6°F reflect this pattern; uncertainty persists with 23.5% odds on 48-49°F if winds lighten. New model outputs expected tomorrow could refine landfall timing of any clearing.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 46-47°F (37.4% implied probability), aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing a mostly cloudy day with onshore flow from the Pacific suppressing highs amid a cool marine layer. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours clusters around 46-49°F, down from earlier warmer outlooks due to persistent low pressure over the coastal Northwest and reduced solar insolation from stratus clouds. March climatology averages 54°F, but current temperature anomalies of -4 to -6°F reflect this pattern; uncertainty persists with 23.5% odds on 48-49°F if winds lighten. New model outputs expected tomorrow could refine landfall timing of any clearing.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 46-47°F (37.4% implied probability), aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing a mostly cloudy day with onshore flow from the Pacific suppressing highs amid a cool marine layer. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours clusters around 46-49°F, down from earlier warmer outlooks due to persistent low pressure over the coastal Northwest and reduced solar insolation from stratus clouds. March climatology averages 54°F, but current temperature anomalies of -4 to -6°F reflect this pattern; uncertainty persists with 23.5% odds on 48-49°F if winds lighten. New model outputs expected tomorrow could refine landfall timing of any clearing.

Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a Seattle high temperature of 46-47°F (37.4% implied probability), aligning with the latest National Weather Service forecast models showing a mostly cloudy day with onshore flow from the Pacific suppressing highs amid a cool marine layer. Ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours clusters around 46-49°F, down from earlier warmer outlooks due to persistent low pressure over the coastal Northwest and reduced solar insolation from stratus clouds. March climatology averages 54°F, but current temperature anomalies of -4 to -6°F reflect this pattern; uncertainty persists with 23.5% odds on 48-49°F if winds lighten. New model outputs expected tomorrow could refine landfall timing of any clearing.

基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "46-47°F" at 33%, followed by "48-49°F" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?" has generated $14.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 25, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?" is "46-47°F" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "48-49°F" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Seattle on March 29?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.