Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's central station confirm a peak temperature of 20°C earlier today, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid falling evening readings of 19.8°C as of 5 PM under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Short-term forecasts had anticipated a 23°C high with minimal precipitation risk, but persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass—deviating from early May climatological averages of 20–22°C—capped intensification, as evidenced by hourly data hovering below 21°C. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset microburst of solar heating or an official data revision incorporating peripheral station peaks like 22.9°C in Bukchuncheon, though KMA's Seoul-specific methodology makes this improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Seoul on May 9?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 9?
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$268,564 交易量
$268,564 交易量
2026-05-09
12°C or below
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
12°C or below <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$268,564 交易量
$268,564 交易量
2026-05-09
12°C or below
$5,312 交易量
No
13°C
$5,391 交易量
No
14°C
$5,811 交易量
No
15°C
$5,030 交易量
No
16°C
$15,117 交易量
No
17°C
$23,863 交易量
No
18°C
$29,538 交易量
No
19°C
$31,368 交易量
No
20°C
$49,192 交易量
Yes
21°C
$42,213 交易量
No
22°C or higher
$55,729 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's central station confirm a peak temperature of 20°C earlier today, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid falling evening readings of 19.8°C as of 5 PM under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Short-term forecasts had anticipated a 23°C high with minimal precipitation risk, but persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass—deviating from early May climatological averages of 20–22°C—capped intensification, as evidenced by hourly data hovering below 21°C. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset microburst of solar heating or an official data revision incorporating peripheral station peaks like 22.9°C in Bukchuncheon, though KMA's Seoul-specific methodology makes this improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$268,564結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's central station confirm a peak temperature of 20°C earlier today, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid falling evening readings of 19.8°C as of 5 PM under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Short-term forecasts had anticipated a 23°C high with minimal precipitation risk, but persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass—deviating from early May climatological averages of 20–22°C—capped intensification, as evidenced by hourly data hovering below 21°C. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset microburst of solar heating or an official data revision incorporating peripheral station peaks like 22.9°C in Bukchuncheon, though KMA's Seoul-specific methodology makes this improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$268,564結束日期
2026-05-09市場開放時間
May 7, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) observations at Seoul's central station confirm a peak temperature of 20°C earlier today, anchoring trader consensus at a 100% market-implied probability for this outcome amid falling evening readings of 19.8°C as of 5 PM under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Short-term forecasts had anticipated a 23°C high with minimal precipitation risk, but persistent cloud cover and a cooler air mass—deviating from early May climatological averages of 20–22°C—capped intensification, as evidenced by hourly data hovering below 21°C. Realistic challenges include a rare post-sunset microburst of solar heating or an official data revision incorporating peripheral station peaks like 22.9°C in Bukchuncheon, though KMA's Seoul-specific methodology makes this improbable; final daily summary expected shortly.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions