Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Taipei's March 26 high temperature clustering tightly around 23-25°C, driving the near-even odds among these outcomes as traders weigh ensemble means near 24°C amid model spread of ±2°C. Differentiating factors include persistent northeasterly winds fostering sea-breeze moderation that caps peaks below 26°C in 87% of runs, versus urban heat island effects potentially nudging urban Taipei 1-2°C above rural stations. Historical March 26 highs average 23.8°C (1981-2023), with recent mild frontal passages suppressing 27°C+ outliers (13.5% implied probability) while cloud cover variability tilts sentiment slightly toward 24°C leadership. Upcoming 12Z updates could shift trader consensus if warm advection strengthens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
Highest temperature in Taipei on March 26?
22°C 22%
24°C 21%
25°C 18%
23°C 15%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
15%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
22%
27°C or higher
11%
22°C 22%
24°C 21%
25°C 18%
23°C 15%
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
15%
22°C
22%
23°C
26%
24°C
29%
25°C
29%
26°C
22%
27°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Mar 22, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwan's Central Weather Administration (CWA) latest forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS project Taipei's March 26 high temperature clustering tightly around 23-25°C, driving the near-even odds among these outcomes as traders weigh ensemble means near 24°C amid model spread of ±2°C. Differentiating factors include persistent northeasterly winds fostering sea-breeze moderation that caps peaks below 26°C in 87% of runs, versus urban heat island effects potentially nudging urban Taipei 1-2°C above rural stations. Historical March 26 highs average 23.8°C (1981-2023), with recent mild frontal passages suppressing 27°C+ outliers (13.5% implied probability) while cloud cover variability tilts sentiment slightly toward 24°C leadership. Upcoming 12Z updates could shift trader consensus if warm advection strengthens.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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