**Trader consensus has converged on 33°C as the day's maximum temperature in Tel Aviv because real-time observations and official Israeli Meteorological Service data show afternoon readings peaking at or near that level under clear, stable summer conditions.** August climatology supports this positioning, with typical highs around 29–32°C and low precipitation risk allowing strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation to suppress the peak. Multiple forecast models aligned on this range, and live station reports (including nearby Ben Gurion and Tel Aviv-Jaffa) recorded values consistent with a 33°C high by late afternoon. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from anomalous warming or measurement revision, though current atmospheric stability and the advanced hour of the day make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月21日特拉維夫的最高溫度?
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$19,807 交易量
$19,807 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
29°C or below <1%
30°C <1%
31°C <1%
$19,807 交易量
$19,807 交易量
29°C or below
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus has converged on 33°C as the day's maximum temperature in Tel Aviv because real-time observations and official Israeli Meteorological Service data show afternoon readings peaking at or near that level under clear, stable summer conditions.** August climatology supports this positioning, with typical highs around 29–32°C and low precipitation risk allowing strong solar heating without significant cloud cover or sea-breeze moderation to suppress the peak. Multiple forecast models aligned on this range, and live station reports (including nearby Ben Gurion and Tel Aviv-Jaffa) recorded values consistent with a 33°C high by late afternoon. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-day surge from anomalous warming or measurement revision, though current atmospheric stability and the advanced hour of the day make such shifts improbable before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions