Real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm Tokyo's daily maximum temperature stabilized at 21°C on September 11, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered drizzle that suppressed further warming. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where September highs typically average near 27°C but drop notably with marine influence and frontal activity. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects verified station data late in the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unexpected late surge above 22°C or post-analysis adjustment to the official record could shift the outcome, though current model runs and surface reports show no such potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月11日東京氣溫最高？
9月11日東京氣溫最高？
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$57,172 交易量
$57,172 交易量
2026-09-11
15°C或以下
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
是
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C或以上
否
21°C 100.0%
15°C或以下 <1%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
$57,172 交易量
$57,172 交易量
2026-09-11
15°C或以下
$1,279 交易量
否
16°C
$1,165 交易量
否
17°C
$1,521 交易量
否
18°C
$345 交易量
否
19°C
$3,124 交易量
否
20°C
$14,249 交易量
否
21°C
$12,150 交易量
是
22°C
$13,703 交易量
否
23°C
$5,377 交易量
否
24°C
$2,353 交易量
否
25°C或以上
$1,906 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm Tokyo's daily maximum temperature stabilized at 21°C on September 11, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered drizzle that suppressed further warming. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where September highs typically average near 27°C but drop notably with marine influence and frontal activity. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects verified station data late in the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unexpected late surge above 22°C or post-analysis adjustment to the official record could shift the outcome, though current model runs and surface reports show no such potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$57,172結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm Tokyo's daily maximum temperature stabilized at 21°C on September 11, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered drizzle that suppressed further warming. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where September highs typically average near 27°C but drop notably with marine influence and frontal activity. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects verified station data late in the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unexpected late surge above 22°C or post-analysis adjustment to the official record could shift the outcome, though current model runs and surface reports show no such potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$57,172結束日期
2026-09-11市場開放時間
Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Real-time observations from the Japan Meteorological Agency confirm Tokyo's daily maximum temperature stabilized at 21°C on September 11, 2026, under persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and scattered drizzle that suppressed further warming. This aligns with early-autumn climatology for the region, where September highs typically average near 27°C but drop notably with marine influence and frontal activity. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability for exactly 21°C reflects verified station data late in the day, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unexpected late surge above 22°C or post-analysis adjustment to the official record could shift the outcome, though current model runs and surface reports show no such potential.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions