**Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on September 16, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Hourly data showed temperatures climbing from morning lows around 14–16°C under mostly clear skies to a peak near 24–25°C in the early afternoon, consistent with southerly flow and moderate insolation before evening cooling. This aligns with seasonal expectations for mid-September, slightly above the long-term average high near 20°C. Forecast models from sources such as GFS converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected sensor discrepancy, though multiple independent readings make significant adjustment improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月16日華沙的最高溫度？
9月16日華沙的最高溫度？
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$40,455 交易量
$40,455 交易量
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C
否
23°C
否
24°C
是
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C或更高
否
24°C 100.0%
19°C或以下 <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$40,455 交易量
$40,455 交易量
2026-09-16
19°C或以下
$1,728 交易量
否
20°C
$200 交易量
否
21°C
$278 交易量
否
22°C
$2,064 交易量
否
23°C
$6,840 交易量
否
24°C
$8,376 交易量
是
25°C
$11,141 交易量
否
26°C
$3,685 交易量
否
27°C
$3,578 交易量
否
28°C
$788 交易量
否
29°C或更高
$1,777 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on September 16, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Hourly data showed temperatures climbing from morning lows around 14–16°C under mostly clear skies to a peak near 24–25°C in the early afternoon, consistent with southerly flow and moderate insolation before evening cooling. This aligns with seasonal expectations for mid-September, slightly above the long-term average high near 20°C. Forecast models from sources such as GFS converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected sensor discrepancy, though multiple independent readings make significant adjustment improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$40,455結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on September 16, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Hourly data showed temperatures climbing from morning lows around 14–16°C under mostly clear skies to a peak near 24–25°C in the early afternoon, consistent with southerly flow and moderate insolation before evening cooling. This aligns with seasonal expectations for mid-September, slightly above the long-term average high near 20°C. Forecast models from sources such as GFS converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected sensor discrepancy, though multiple independent readings make significant adjustment improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$40,455結束日期
2026-09-16市場開放時間
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
**Official meteorological observations from Warsaw stations recorded a daily maximum of 24°C on September 16, 2026, driving the near-certain market consensus.** Hourly data showed temperatures climbing from morning lows around 14–16°C under mostly clear skies to a peak near 24–25°C in the early afternoon, consistent with southerly flow and moderate insolation before evening cooling. This aligns with seasonal expectations for mid-September, slightly above the long-term average high near 20°C. Forecast models from sources such as GFS converged on this range days in advance, with minimal spread. A realistic challenge would require a post-event revision from the primary reporting station or an undetected sensor discrepancy, though multiple independent readings make significant adjustment improbable.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions