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政治·Fed

傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局

Market icon
政治·Fed

傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局

$132,831 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$132,831 交易量

Polymarket

5月30日

$79,264 交易量

31%

12月31日

$53,567 交易量

67%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve Chair term expires May 15, 2026, heightening trader focus on whether he will vacate his Board of Governors seat—set to run until January 2028—amid intensifying political pressure from the Trump administration and an ongoing Department of Justice investigation involving subpoenas and potential indictment threats. Powell affirmed in mid-March he would remain as interim Chair until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed and stay on the Board post-probe resolution for institutional stability, yet officials like Kevin Hassett signaled in early April expectations of a full exit. Recent Senate Majority Leader Thune's call to expedite the probe underscores resolution risks, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the next key catalyst influencing market-implied Fed funds path and Treasury yield dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$132,831
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Jerome Powell's Federal Reserve Chair term expires May 15, 2026, heightening trader focus on whether he will vacate his Board of Governors seat—set to run until January 2028—amid intensifying political pressure from the Trump administration and an ongoing Department of Justice investigation involving subpoenas and potential indictment threats. Powell affirmed in mid-March he would remain as interim Chair until successor Kevin Warsh is Senate-confirmed and stay on the Board post-probe resolution for institutional stability, yet officials like Kevin Hassett signaled in early April expectations of a full exit. Recent Senate Majority Leader Thune's call to expedite the probe underscores resolution risks, with the April 28-29 FOMC meeting as the next key catalyst influencing market-implied Fed funds path and Treasury yield dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
交易量
$132,831
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Jan 5, 2026, 4:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell ceases to hold a position on the Federal Reserve Board of Governors for any period of time between this market's creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market is not limited to Jerome Powell’s current position as chair of the Federal Reserve. If Jerome Powell ceases to be Chair of the Federal Reserve, but remains a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, this will not qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "12月31日" at 67%, followed by "5月30日" at 31%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" has generated $132.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" is "12月31日" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5月30日" at 31%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "傑羅姆·鮑威爾（ Jerome Powell ）在…前從聯儲局" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.