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最大的公司在2026年12月底?

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最大的公司在2026年12月底?

輝達 71%

Alphabet 13%

蘋果 12%

SpaceX 3.5%

Polymarket

$1,881,086 交易量

輝達 71%

Alphabet 13%

蘋果 12%

SpaceX 3.5%

Polymarket

$1,881,086 交易量

輝達會在12月31日成為全球市值最大的公司嗎? icon

輝達

$340,559 交易量

71%

Alphabet會在12月31日成為全球市值最大的公司嗎? icon

Alphabet

$177,655 交易量

13%

蘋果公司在12月31日會成為全球市值最高的公司嗎? icon

蘋果

$154,659 交易量

12%

SpaceX會在12月31日成為全球市值最大的公司嗎? icon

SpaceX

$78,732 交易量

4%

特斯拉會在12月31日成為全球市值最大的公司嗎? icon

特斯拉

$232,977 交易量

1%

微軟會在12月31日成為全球市值最大的公司嗎? icon

微軟

$259,031 交易量

1%

沙烏地阿美會在12月31日成為全球市值最大的公司嗎? icon

沙烏地阿美

$382,887 交易量

1%

亞馬遜會在12月31日成為全球市值最大的公司嗎? icon

亞馬遜

$254,585 交易量

1%

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA commands a market-implied 70.5% probability of remaining the world's largest company by market capitalization at December 2026 close, anchored by its current $4.8 trillion valuation—well ahead of Alphabet and Apple at around $3.9 trillion each—fueled by fiscal 2026 revenue surging 65% to $216 billion, with sovereign AI sales tripling beyond $30 billion amid unrelenting data center demand for its GPUs. Trader consensus reflects NVIDIA's moat in AI semiconductors, contrasting Alphabet's cloud AI gains and Apple's hardware ecosystem stability, while SpaceX's 3.5% odds hinge on a potential $1.5–2 trillion IPO amid execution risks. Key catalysts include NVIDIA's next earnings and AI capex trends from hyperscalers.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,881,086
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.NVIDIA commands a market-implied 70.5% probability of remaining the world's largest company by market capitalization at December 2026 close, anchored by its current $4.8 trillion valuation—well ahead of Alphabet and Apple at around $3.9 trillion each—fueled by fiscal 2026 revenue surging 65% to $216 billion, with sovereign AI sales tripling beyond $30 billion amid unrelenting data center demand for its GPUs. Trader consensus reflects NVIDIA's moat in AI semiconductors, contrasting Alphabet's cloud AI gains and Apple's hardware ecosystem stability, while SpaceX's 3.5% odds hinge on a potential $1.5–2 trillion IPO amid execution risks. Key catalysts include NVIDIA's next earnings and AI capex trends from hyperscalers.

This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,881,086
結束日期
2026-12-31
市場開放時間
Nov 12, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

警惕外部連結哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"最大的公司在2026年12月底?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "輝達" at 71%, followed by "Alphabet" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 71¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" has generated $1.9 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 12, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "最大的公司在2026年12月底?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" is "輝達" at 71%, meaning the market assigns a 71% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "最大的公司在2026年12月底?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.