Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely settle near 16°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the near-even trader consensus between the 14°C-or-below (47.5%) and 15°C (41.0%) bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates, urban heat island effects around the city center versus higher-elevation outskirts, and minor model spread in dew-point forecasts create the narrow uncertainty band separating these outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows of 14–16°C, providing context, while the absence of significant synoptic forcing or precipitation keeps resolution tightly linked to the final official observation from local meteorological stations. Updated model runs overnight will likely narrow this margin before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月3日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月3日安卡拉最低溫度？
14°C或以下 53%
15°C 42%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
14°C或以下
53%
15°C
42%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C或更高
<1%
14°C或以下 53%
15°C 42%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
14°C或以下
$1 交易量
53%
15°C
$2 交易量
42%
16°C
$320 交易量
<1%
17°C
$401 交易量
<1%
18°C
$149 交易量
<1%
19°C
$40 交易量
<1%
20°C
$25 交易量
<1%
21°C
$40 交易量
<1%
22°C
$40 交易量
<1%
23°C
$61 交易量
<1%
24°C或更高
$40 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely settle near 16°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the near-even trader consensus between the 14°C-or-below (47.5%) and 15°C (41.0%) bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates, urban heat island effects around the city center versus higher-elevation outskirts, and minor model spread in dew-point forecasts create the narrow uncertainty band separating these outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows of 14–16°C, providing context, while the absence of significant synoptic forcing or precipitation keeps resolution tightly linked to the final official observation from local meteorological stations. Updated model runs overnight will likely narrow this margin before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$1,119結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely settle near 16°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the near-even trader consensus between the 14°C-or-below (47.5%) and 15°C (41.0%) bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates, urban heat island effects around the city center versus higher-elevation outskirts, and minor model spread in dew-point forecasts create the narrow uncertainty band separating these outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows of 14–16°C, providing context, while the absence of significant synoptic forcing or precipitation keeps resolution tightly linked to the final official observation from local meteorological stations. Updated model runs overnight will likely narrow this margin before market close.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,119結束日期
2026-09-03市場開放時間
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ETLatest numerical weather prediction models from sources like ECMWF and GFS indicate Ankara's overnight minimum on September 3 will likely settle near 16°C under clear skies and light northeasterly winds, driving the near-even trader consensus between the 14°C-or-below (47.5%) and 15°C (41.0%) bins. Subtle differences in boundary-layer cooling rates, urban heat island effects around the city center versus higher-elevation outskirts, and minor model spread in dew-point forecasts create the narrow uncertainty band separating these outcomes. Historical September climatology for the region shows typical lows of 14–16°C, providing context, while the absence of significant synoptic forcing or precipitation keeps resolution tightly linked to the final official observation from local meteorological stations. Updated model runs overnight will likely narrow this margin before market close.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions