Forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature near 16°C in Ankara on September 4, driven by clear skies promoting nighttime radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds of 2–4 m/s and dew points around 8–10°C. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 14–15°C at Esenboğa, with early-month conditions often featuring rapid temperature drops after sunset due to the region's continental climate and low humidity. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 15–16°C because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 12°C or below reflect limited cooling potential absent stronger advection or precipitation. Official airport observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月4日安卡拉最低溫度？
12°C 95%
13°C 95%
18°C 94%
14°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
11°C或以下
69%
12°C
95%
13°C
95%
14°C
90%
15°C
51%
16°C
51%
17°C
88%
18°C
94%
19°C
13%
20°C
13%
21°C或以上
59%
12°C 95%
13°C 95%
18°C 94%
14°C 90%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
11°C或以下
$0 交易量
69%
12°C
$0 交易量
95%
13°C
$0 交易量
95%
14°C
$0 交易量
90%
15°C
$0 交易量
51%
16°C
$0 交易量
51%
17°C
$0 交易量
88%
18°C
$0 交易量
94%
19°C
$0 交易量
13%
20°C
$0 交易量
13%
21°C或以上
$0 交易量
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature near 16°C in Ankara on September 4, driven by clear skies promoting nighttime radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds of 2–4 m/s and dew points around 8–10°C. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 14–15°C at Esenboğa, with early-month conditions often featuring rapid temperature drops after sunset due to the region's continental climate and low humidity. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 15–16°C because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 12°C or below reflect limited cooling potential absent stronger advection or precipitation. Official airport observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature near 16°C in Ankara on September 4, driven by clear skies promoting nighttime radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds of 2–4 m/s and dew points around 8–10°C. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 14–15°C at Esenboğa, with early-month conditions often featuring rapid temperature drops after sunset due to the region's continental climate and low humidity. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 15–16°C because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 12°C or below reflect limited cooling potential absent stronger advection or precipitation. Official airport observations will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETForecast consensus from models such as ECMWF and GFS points to a minimum temperature near 16°C in Ankara on September 4, driven by clear skies promoting nighttime radiative cooling under light northeasterly winds of 2–4 m/s and dew points around 8–10°C. Historical September averages place overnight lows near 14–15°C at Esenboğa, with early-month conditions often featuring rapid temperature drops after sunset due to the region's continental climate and low humidity. Trader sentiment clusters tightly on 15–16°C because small variations in cloud cover or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact minimum by 1–2°C, while lower probabilities for 12°C or below reflect limited cooling potential absent stronger advection or precipitation. Official airport observations will resolve the market.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions