Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity over Ankara through September 4, supporting afternoon highs near 29°C. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C, with traders weighting model spread and historical September variability around 27–30°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle factors such as boundary-layer mixing depth, exact peak solar heating timing, and any minor high-cloud development that could suppress maximum temperatures by 1°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and fresh model cycles before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月4日安卡拉的最高溫度？
9月4日安卡拉的最高溫度？
28°C 41%
29°C 41%
27°C 10%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
10%
28°C
41%
29°C
41%
30°C
10%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C或以上
<1%
28°C 41%
29°C 41%
27°C 10%
30°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-09-04
24°C或以下
$120 交易量
1%
25°C
$60 交易量
2%
26°C
$263 交易量
2%
27°C
$157 交易量
10%
28°C
$430 交易量
41%
29°C
$344 交易量
41%
30°C
$234 交易量
10%
31°C
$103 交易量
3%
32°C
$0 交易量
1%
33°C
$271 交易量
<1%
34°C或以上
$277 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity over Ankara through September 4, supporting afternoon highs near 29°C. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C, with traders weighting model spread and historical September variability around 27–30°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle factors such as boundary-layer mixing depth, exact peak solar heating timing, and any minor high-cloud development that could suppress maximum temperatures by 1°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and fresh model cycles before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,259結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity over Ankara through September 4, supporting afternoon highs near 29°C. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C, with traders weighting model spread and historical September variability around 27–30°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle factors such as boundary-layer mixing depth, exact peak solar heating timing, and any minor high-cloud development that could suppress maximum temperatures by 1°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and fresh model cycles before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,259結束日期
2026-09-04市場開放時間
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs, indicate clear skies, light northeasterly flow, and low humidity over Ankara through September 4, supporting afternoon highs near 29°C. This consensus underpins the near-even market-implied odds between 28°C and 29°C, with traders weighting model spread and historical September variability around 27–30°C. Differentiation between these outcomes hinges on subtle factors such as boundary-layer mixing depth, exact peak solar heating timing, and any minor high-cloud development that could suppress maximum temperatures by 1°C. Official Turkish Meteorological Service updates and fresh model cycles before resolution remain the key near-term catalysts for any shift in trader positioning.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions