Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於9月9日安卡拉最低溫度？
9月9日安卡拉最低溫度？
10°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,025 交易量
$3,025 交易量
2026-09-09
7°C或以下
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C或更高
否
10°C 100.0%
7°C或以下 <1%
8°C <1%
9°C <1%
$3,025 交易量
$3,025 交易量
2026-09-09
7°C或以下
$50 交易量
否
8°C
$45 交易量
否
9°C
$45 交易量
否
10°C
$776 交易量
是
11°C
$480 交易量
否
12°C
$206 交易量
否
13°C
$573 交易量
否
14°C
$189 交易量
否
15°C
$164 交易量
否
16°C
$269 交易量
否
17°C或更高
$230 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$3,025結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,025結束日期
2026-09-09市場開放時間
Sep 7, 2026, 12:29 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Strong model consensus and official forecasts from agencies including the Turkish Meteorological Service and international ensembles project a minimum of 10°C for Ankara on September 9 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and typical radiative cooling at the city’s ~900 m elevation. Recent observations show overnight lows stabilizing near 11–13°C amid a stable high-pressure regime, aligning closely with early-September climatology. This evidence supports the market’s 99.7% implied probability for exactly 10°C. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover, stronger winds, or station-specific microclimate effects could realistically produce a different recorded low.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions