Trader consensus has locked onto 25°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on August 23 because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that level after 3–6 a.m. local time, with hourly readings holding near 24–25°C before daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and residual heat from a persistent warm air mass prevent deeper nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 24°C driven by stronger onshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing, though current observational trends make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月23日釜山最低溫度？
8月23日釜山最低溫度？
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$4,315 交易量
$4,315 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$4,315 交易量
$4,315 交易量
2026-08-23
20°C or below
$230 交易量
No
21°C
$184 交易量
No
22°C
$632 交易量
No
23°C
$449 交易量
No
24°C
$260 交易量
No
25°C
$1,073 交易量
Yes
26°C
$452 交易量
No
27°C
$369 交易量
No
28°C
$317 交易量
No
29°C
$165 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$184 交易量
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto 25°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on August 23 because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that level after 3–6 a.m. local time, with hourly readings holding near 24–25°C before daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and residual heat from a persistent warm air mass prevent deeper nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 24°C driven by stronger onshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing, though current observational trends make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
交易量
$4,315結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus has locked onto 25°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on August 23 because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that level after 3–6 a.m. local time, with hourly readings holding near 24–25°C before daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and residual heat from a persistent warm air mass prevent deeper nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 24°C driven by stronger onshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing, though current observational trends make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$4,315結束日期
2026-08-23市場開放時間
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus has locked onto 25°C as the lowest temperature in Busan on August 23 because official Korea Meteorological Administration observations and short-range model runs show the overnight minimum stabilizing at that level after 3–6 a.m. local time, with hourly readings holding near 24–25°C before daytime heating. This aligns with typical late-August climatology for the region, where marine influence and residual heat from a persistent warm air mass prevent deeper nocturnal cooling. The market-implied odds reflect high-confidence verification data rather than forecast uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted late-night drop below 24°C driven by stronger onshore flow or model error in boundary-layer mixing, though current observational trends make such a revision unlikely before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions