Alibaba's Qwen3.7-Max and related coding-focused releases have driven its 78% implied probability as the third-best lab on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by month-end, reflecting consistent high Elo scores in agentic front-end tasks that emphasize multi-step reasoning and tool use. Recent leaderboard snapshots show Chinese labs maintaining strong positioning against frontier U.S. models, with Alibaba's API pricing and benchmark results on SWE-Bench and arena-style evaluations supporting trader consensus around its placement behind likely leaders like Anthropic or OpenAI. Moonshot's Kimi K3, at 15%, benefits from prior #1 or #2 finishes in frontend arenas but trails in overall lab momentum, while lower-odds entries like Meta, Google, and DeepSeek reflect limited recent gains in this specific WebDev metric. With resolution imminent, any final model updates or vote shifts in the next ten days could alter the third spot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於阿里巴巴 78.3%
Moonshot 15.6%
Z.ai 4.8%
OpenAI 2.3%
$47,319 交易量
$47,319 交易量
2026-08-31
阿里巴巴
78%
Moonshot
16%
Z.ai
5%
OpenAI
2%
Meta
2%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
1%
Anthropic
1%
字節跳動
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
小米
<1%
Thinky
<1%
騰訊
<1%
Poolside
<1%
Mistral
<1%
阿里巴巴 78.3%
Moonshot 15.6%
Z.ai 4.8%
OpenAI 2.3%
$47,319 交易量
$47,319 交易量
2026-08-31
阿里巴巴
$11,461 交易量
78%
Moonshot
$5,851 交易量
16%
Z.ai
$3,787 交易量
5%
OpenAI
$15,436 交易量
2%
Meta
$1,196 交易量
2%
SpaceXAI
$2,111 交易量
1%
DeepSeek
$1,311 交易量
1%
$1,288 交易量
1%
Anthropic
$1,054 交易量
1%
字節跳動
$751 交易量
<1%
MiniMax
$463 交易量
<1%
小米
$421 交易量
<1%
Thinky
$535 交易量
<1%
騰訊
$490 交易量
<1%
Poolside
$452 交易量
<1%
Mistral
$711 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba's Qwen3.7-Max and related coding-focused releases have driven its 78% implied probability as the third-best lab on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by month-end, reflecting consistent high Elo scores in agentic front-end tasks that emphasize multi-step reasoning and tool use. Recent leaderboard snapshots show Chinese labs maintaining strong positioning against frontier U.S. models, with Alibaba's API pricing and benchmark results on SWE-Bench and arena-style evaluations supporting trader consensus around its placement behind likely leaders like Anthropic or OpenAI. Moonshot's Kimi K3, at 15%, benefits from prior #1 or #2 finishes in frontend arenas but trails in overall lab momentum, while lower-odds entries like Meta, Google, and DeepSeek reflect limited recent gains in this specific WebDev metric. With resolution imminent, any final model updates or vote shifts in the next ten days could alter the third spot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
市場開放時間： Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ET
交易量
$47,319結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Alibaba's Qwen3.7-Max and related coding-focused releases have driven its 78% implied probability as the third-best lab on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by month-end, reflecting consistent high Elo scores in agentic front-end tasks that emphasize multi-step reasoning and tool use. Recent leaderboard snapshots show Chinese labs maintaining strong positioning against frontier U.S. models, with Alibaba's API pricing and benchmark results on SWE-Bench and arena-style evaluations supporting trader consensus around its placement behind likely leaders like Anthropic or OpenAI. Moonshot's Kimi K3, at 15%, benefits from prior #1 or #2 finishes in frontend arenas but trails in overall lab momentum, while lower-odds entries like Meta, Google, and DeepSeek reflect limited recent gains in this specific WebDev metric. With resolution imminent, any final model updates or vote shifts in the next ten days could alter the third spot.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
交易量
$47,319結束日期
2026-08-31市場開放時間
Jul 20, 2026, 8:32 PM ETAlibaba's Qwen3.7-Max and related coding-focused releases have driven its 78% implied probability as the third-best lab on the Code Arena WebDev leaderboard by month-end, reflecting consistent high Elo scores in agentic front-end tasks that emphasize multi-step reasoning and tool use. Recent leaderboard snapshots show Chinese labs maintaining strong positioning against frontier U.S. models, with Alibaba's API pricing and benchmark results on SWE-Bench and arena-style evaluations supporting trader consensus around its placement behind likely leaders like Anthropic or OpenAI. Moonshot's Kimi K3, at 15%, benefits from prior #1 or #2 finishes in frontend arenas but trails in overall lab momentum, while lower-odds entries like Meta, Google, and DeepSeek reflect limited recent gains in this specific WebDev metric. With resolution imminent, any final model updates or vote shifts in the next ten days could alter the third spot.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions