The U.S. Embassy in Beirut maintains core diplomatic operations with reduced staffing following the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid elevated security risks tied to regional tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Hezbollah. Embassy alerts through April 2026 continued urging American citizens to depart Lebanon via commercial flights while options remained available, citing volatile conditions including airstrikes in southern areas and Beirut suburbs, though no full embassy evacuation or closure has occurred. With no major new military or diplomatic escalations confirmed in the past 30 days, trader sentiment on a complete evacuation by a target date reflects assessments of sustained but contained risks, ongoing diplomatic posture in Lebanon, and potential triggers such as renewed cross-border exchanges or shifts in U.S. regional force posture. Resolution depends on verifiable full staff withdrawal before the market deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$116,199 交易量
2026-12-31
12月31日
19%
$116,199 交易量
12月31日
$22,097 交易量
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut maintains core diplomatic operations with reduced staffing following the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid elevated security risks tied to regional tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Hezbollah. Embassy alerts through April 2026 continued urging American citizens to depart Lebanon via commercial flights while options remained available, citing volatile conditions including airstrikes in southern areas and Beirut suburbs, though no full embassy evacuation or closure has occurred. With no major new military or diplomatic escalations confirmed in the past 30 days, trader sentiment on a complete evacuation by a target date reflects assessments of sustained but contained risks, ongoing diplomatic posture in Lebanon, and potential triggers such as renewed cross-border exchanges or shifts in U.S. regional force posture. Resolution depends on verifiable full staff withdrawal before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
市場開放時間： Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$116,199結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. The U.S. Embassy in Beirut maintains core diplomatic operations with reduced staffing following the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid elevated security risks tied to regional tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Hezbollah. Embassy alerts through April 2026 continued urging American citizens to depart Lebanon via commercial flights while options remained available, citing volatile conditions including airstrikes in southern areas and Beirut suburbs, though no full embassy evacuation or closure has occurred. With no major new military or diplomatic escalations confirmed in the past 30 days, trader sentiment on a complete evacuation by a target date reflects assessments of sustained but contained risks, ongoing diplomatic posture in Lebanon, and potential triggers such as renewed cross-border exchanges or shifts in U.S. regional force posture. Resolution depends on verifiable full staff withdrawal before the market deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
交易量
$116,199結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The U.S. Embassy in Beirut maintains core diplomatic operations with reduced staffing following the February 2026 ordered departure of non-emergency personnel and family members amid elevated security risks tied to regional tensions involving Iran, Israel, and Hezbollah. Embassy alerts through April 2026 continued urging American citizens to depart Lebanon via commercial flights while options remained available, citing volatile conditions including airstrikes in southern areas and Beirut suburbs, though no full embassy evacuation or closure has occurred. With no major new military or diplomatic escalations confirmed in the past 30 days, trader sentiment on a complete evacuation by a target date reflects assessments of sustained but contained risks, ongoing diplomatic posture in Lebanon, and potential triggers such as renewed cross-border exchanges or shifts in U.S. regional force posture. Resolution depends on verifiable full staff withdrawal before the market deadline.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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