Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI in mid-September 2026 have become the main catalyst for trader sentiment on this market. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei proposed embedding independent evaluators, such as METR, with permanent employee-level access to models, training processes, and incident reporting, and OpenAI’s Sam Altman quickly matched the pledge. These steps align closely with the resolution criteria for ongoing third-party vetting of frontier AI systems. Meta, Google DeepMind, and xAI have not made equivalent commitments, though private discussions among labs continue around industry standards bodies. Existing pre-deployment agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation do not qualify. With the October 31 deadline roughly six weeks away, momentum favors the early movers while uncertainty remains for holdouts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於$48,901 交易量

SpaceXAI
33%

27%

Microsoft
27%

Meta
24%

Amazon
18%

Mistral
14%

字節跳動
11%

Z.ai
8%

百度
7%

阿里巴巴
7%

DeepSeek
6%

美團
6%

Moonshot
5%
$48,901 交易量

SpaceXAI
33%

27%

Microsoft
27%

Meta
24%

Amazon
18%

Mistral
14%

字節跳動
11%

Z.ai
8%

百度
7%

阿里巴巴
7%

DeepSeek
6%

美團
6%

Moonshot
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間: Sep 14, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company announces a commitment to grant one or more third-party evaluators ongoing employee-level access to its systems, AI models, and training processes during development by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Arrangements limited to evaluating models before release will not qualify. Current agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation (CAISI) to provide pre-deployment access to AI models will not qualify.
A qualifying announcement must be made through the listed company's official channels or by an authorized representative acting in an official capacity. Statements that endorse third-party evaluation, describe it as under consideration, or express an intention to explore or discuss it will not qualify. A commitment made as part of a broader agreement with other companies or with a government will qualify, provided the listed company is a party to it and it otherwise meets the requirements above.
If a qualifying announcement is made within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of whether the commitment is binding, is later modified or withdrawn, or is ever implemented.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed company; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent announcements from Anthropic and OpenAI in mid-September 2026 have become the main catalyst for trader sentiment on this market. Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei proposed embedding independent evaluators, such as METR, with permanent employee-level access to models, training processes, and incident reporting, and OpenAI’s Sam Altman quickly matched the pledge. These steps align closely with the resolution criteria for ongoing third-party vetting of frontier AI systems. Meta, Google DeepMind, and xAI have not made equivalent commitments, though private discussions among labs continue around industry standards bodies. Existing pre-deployment agreements with the Center for AI Standards and Innovation do not qualify. With the October 31 deadline roughly six weeks away, momentum favors the early movers while uncertainty remains for holdouts.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於



警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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