Ongoing Ebola activity centers on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where a Bundibugyo virus outbreak declared in May 2026 has expanded to seven provinces with thousands of confirmed cases and over 3,000 deaths reported by early September. Neighboring Uganda recorded limited cases early in the outbreak before declaring itself free in June, though isolated detections continue amid cross-border movement. The rapid spread, driven by insecurity, displacement, and gaps in contact tracing, has outpaced response efforts despite international aid scaling. Traders should monitor weekly case reports from DRC health authorities and any confirmed exports to additional nations, as new detections in previously unaffected countries would directly shift resolution probabilities before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
$38,699 交易量
South Sudan
46%
Rwanda
22%
Burundi
47%
United States
19%
Canada
23%
Kenya
23%
India
46%
Republic of the Congo
21%
Nigeria
48%
Ethiopia
52%
Somalia
36%
China
13%
$38,699 交易量
South Sudan
46%
Rwanda
22%
Burundi
47%
United States
19%
Canada
23%
Kenya
23%
India
46%
Republic of the Congo
21%
Nigeria
48%
Ethiopia
52%
Somalia
36%
China
13%
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
市場開放時間: May 22, 2026, 12:35 PM ET
Any active laboratory-confirmed, or otherwise officially confirmed, Ebola infection identified within the territory of the specified country will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant national and international health authorities; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
Ongoing Ebola activity centers on the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where a Bundibugyo virus outbreak declared in May 2026 has expanded to seven provinces with thousands of confirmed cases and over 3,000 deaths reported by early September. Neighboring Uganda recorded limited cases early in the outbreak before declaring itself free in June, though isolated detections continue amid cross-border movement. The rapid spread, driven by insecurity, displacement, and gaps in contact tracing, has outpaced response efforts despite international aid scaling. Traders should monitor weekly case reports from DRC health authorities and any confirmed exports to additional nations, as new detections in previously unaffected countries would directly shift resolution probabilities before year-end.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於


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