Recent polls place Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro well ahead in Brazil’s October 4 first round, leaving a tight cluster of single-digit candidates competing for third and fourth. Augusto Cury has climbed to 6% in several surveys after social-media gains, while Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema hover between 1% and 5%, with margins of error overlapping. Ongoing debates, STF proceedings, and last-minute campaign shifts keep fourth-place positioning fluid among these contenders and smaller names. Trader consensus on individual probabilities reflects this narrow, undecided spread rather than any single decisive event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于罗纳尔多·卡亚多 31%
雷南·桑托斯 26%
奥古斯托·库里 25%
Pablo Marçal 14.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-03
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
41%
雷南·桑托斯
42%
奥古斯托·库里
25%
Pablo Marçal
14%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
14%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
8%
泽马
8%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
6%
萨玛拉
6%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
5%
卢拉
5%
克拉里安娜·巴拉奥
5%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
5%
罗纳尔多·卡亚多 31%
雷南·桑托斯 26%
奥古斯托·库里 25%
Pablo Marçal 14.0%
最新
最新
2026-10-03
罗纳尔多·卡亚多
$78 交易量
41%
雷南·桑托斯
$58 交易量
42%
奥古斯托·库里
$51 交易量
25%
Pablo Marçal
$48 交易量
14%
兽医威尔逊·格拉西
$28 交易量
14%
弗拉维奥·博尔索纳罗
$117 交易量
8%
泽马
$28 交易量
8%
赫尔茨·迪亚斯
$28 交易量
6%
萨玛拉
$28 交易量
6%
鲁伊·科斯塔·皮门塔
$28 交易量
5%
卢拉
$128 交易量
5%
克拉里安娜·巴拉奥
$118 交易量
5%
埃德米尔森·科斯塔
$118 交易量
5%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls place Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro well ahead in Brazil’s October 4 first round, leaving a tight cluster of single-digit candidates competing for third and fourth. Augusto Cury has climbed to 6% in several surveys after social-media gains, while Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema hover between 1% and 5%, with margins of error overlapping. Ongoing debates, STF proceedings, and last-minute campaign shifts keep fourth-place positioning fluid among these contenders and smaller names. Trader consensus on individual probabilities reflects this narrow, undecided spread rather than any single decisive event.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ET
交易量
$855结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ETA presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Recent polls place Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro well ahead in Brazil’s October 4 first round, leaving a tight cluster of single-digit candidates competing for third and fourth. Augusto Cury has climbed to 6% in several surveys after social-media gains, while Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema hover between 1% and 5%, with margins of error overlapping. Ongoing debates, STF proceedings, and last-minute campaign shifts keep fourth-place positioning fluid among these contenders and smaller names. Trader consensus on individual probabilities reflects this narrow, undecided spread rather than any single decisive event.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn’t known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
交易量
$855结束日期
2026-10-04市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2026, 3:56 PM ETRecent polls place Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro well ahead in Brazil’s October 4 first round, leaving a tight cluster of single-digit candidates competing for third and fourth. Augusto Cury has climbed to 6% in several surveys after social-media gains, while Ronaldo Caiado, Renan Santos, and Romeu Zema hover between 1% and 5%, with margins of error overlapping. Ongoing debates, STF proceedings, and last-minute campaign shifts keep fourth-place positioning fluid among these contenders and smaller names. Trader consensus on individual probabilities reflects this narrow, undecided spread rather than any single decisive event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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