President Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day throughout 2025, persists into April 2026 amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis with Iran, where his recent threats, ultimatums, and ceasefire announcements have fueled frequent updates. Trader consensus favors 100-119 posts (36%) for April 17-24, closely trailed by 80-99 (29.5%) and 120-139 (25%), reflecting historical patterns during executive time and evening bursts but uncertainty from his presidential schedule. The race stays tight due to variable posting tied to diplomatic developments; Iran de-escalation or talks progress could lower volume, while new foreign policy escalations, executive orders, or domestic announcements might push toward higher ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于100-119 35%
80-99 30%
120-139 25%
140-159 12%
少于20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
30%
100-119
35%
120-139
25%
140-159
12%
160-179
4%
180-199
4%
200+
2%
100-119 35%
80-99 30%
120-139 25%
140-159 12%
少于20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
4%
80-99
30%
100-119
35%
120-139
25%
140-159
12%
160-179
4%
180-199
4%
200+
2%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Apr 14, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
President Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18 posts per day throughout 2025, persists into April 2026 amid the ongoing Strait of Hormuz crisis with Iran, where his recent threats, ultimatums, and ceasefire announcements have fueled frequent updates. Trader consensus favors 100-119 posts (36%) for April 17-24, closely trailed by 80-99 (29.5%) and 120-139 (25%), reflecting historical patterns during executive time and evening bursts but uncertainty from his presidential schedule. The race stays tight due to variable posting tied to diplomatic developments; Iran de-escalation or talks progress could lower volume, while new foreign policy escalations, executive orders, or domestic announcements might push toward higher ranges.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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