Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy price spikes, prompting the ECB Governing Council to revise 2026 inflation projections higher and adopt a data-dependent stance focused on upside risks. With the deposit facility rate held at 2.00 percent through April 2026 and markets pricing in potential hikes starting in June, official statements emphasize monitoring core inflation, wage dynamics, and monetary transmission rather than further easing. Euro area growth forecasts have been trimmed amid these pressures, while resilient labor markets reduce the case for accommodation. This backdrop has shifted trader consensus toward sustained or higher policy rates through year-end, aligning with the 86.5 percent implied probability against any 2026 cut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$28,250 交易量
$28,250 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$28,250 交易量
$28,250 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy price spikes, prompting the ECB Governing Council to revise 2026 inflation projections higher and adopt a data-dependent stance focused on upside risks. With the deposit facility rate held at 2.00 percent through April 2026 and markets pricing in potential hikes starting in June, official statements emphasize monitoring core inflation, wage dynamics, and monetary transmission rather than further easing. Euro area growth forecasts have been trimmed amid these pressures, while resilient labor markets reduce the case for accommodation. This backdrop has shifted trader consensus toward sustained or higher policy rates through year-end, aligning with the 86.5 percent implied probability against any 2026 cut.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$28,250结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy price spikes, prompting the ECB Governing Council to revise 2026 inflation projections higher and adopt a data-dependent stance focused on upside risks. With the deposit facility rate held at 2.00 percent through April 2026 and markets pricing in potential hikes starting in June, official statements emphasize monitoring core inflation, wage dynamics, and monetary transmission rather than further easing. Euro area growth forecasts have been trimmed amid these pressures, while resilient labor markets reduce the case for accommodation. This backdrop has shifted trader consensus toward sustained or higher policy rates through year-end, aligning with the 86.5 percent implied probability against any 2026 cut.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,250结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven energy price spikes, prompting the ECB Governing Council to revise 2026 inflation projections higher and adopt a data-dependent stance focused on upside risks. With the deposit facility rate held at 2.00 percent through April 2026 and markets pricing in potential hikes starting in June, official statements emphasize monitoring core inflation, wage dynamics, and monetary transmission rather than further easing. Euro area growth forecasts have been trimmed amid these pressures, while resilient labor markets reduce the case for accommodation. This backdrop has shifted trader consensus toward sustained or higher policy rates through year-end, aligning with the 86.5 percent implied probability against any 2026 cut.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题