Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp rises in euro-area energy prices, prompting ECB staff to revise 2026 headline inflation projections upward to 2.6%. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% across recent meetings while adopting a data-dependent stance that prioritizes price stability. Reuters polls, futures markets, and professional forecasters now price in a hold or modest hikes through year-end, reflecting resilient growth, tight labor markets, and fiscal support. This shift from prior easing expectations underpins trader consensus against a rate cut in 2026, though sustained declines in energy costs or weaker demand data could reopen discussions before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
$28,063 交易量
$28,063 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$28,063 交易量
$28,063 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp rises in euro-area energy prices, prompting ECB staff to revise 2026 headline inflation projections upward to 2.6%. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% across recent meetings while adopting a data-dependent stance that prioritizes price stability. Reuters polls, futures markets, and professional forecasters now price in a hold or modest hikes through year-end, reflecting resilient growth, tight labor markets, and fiscal support. This shift from prior easing expectations underpins trader consensus against a rate cut in 2026, though sustained declines in energy costs or weaker demand data could reopen discussions before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
交易量
$28,063结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp rises in euro-area energy prices, prompting ECB staff to revise 2026 headline inflation projections upward to 2.6%. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% across recent meetings while adopting a data-dependent stance that prioritizes price stability. Reuters polls, futures markets, and professional forecasters now price in a hold or modest hikes through year-end, reflecting resilient growth, tight labor markets, and fiscal support. This shift from prior easing expectations underpins trader consensus against a rate cut in 2026, though sustained declines in energy costs or weaker demand data could reopen discussions before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$28,063结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Middle East geopolitical tensions have driven sharp rises in euro-area energy prices, prompting ECB staff to revise 2026 headline inflation projections upward to 2.6%. The Governing Council has held the deposit facility rate steady at 2.00% across recent meetings while adopting a data-dependent stance that prioritizes price stability. Reuters polls, futures markets, and professional forecasters now price in a hold or modest hikes through year-end, reflecting resilient growth, tight labor markets, and fiscal support. This shift from prior easing expectations underpins trader consensus against a rate cut in 2026, though sustained declines in energy costs or weaker demand data could reopen discussions before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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