**Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey’s executive system, and recent statements from the president and his AKP-MHP alliance signal active preparations for elections in 2027 or 2028, including possible early parliamentary action to preserve eligibility for a third term.** Opposition challenges remain constrained, with prominent figures such as Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu facing imprisonment and legal restrictions following convictions. Erdoğan continues public engagements, including recent speeches affirming continued leadership and policy priorities on security, economy, and regional issues, while allies publicly back his candidacy. No constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms indicate removal by the end of 2026, and trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% “No” price aligns with the absence of acute near-term risks to his position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
7% 概率
$636,490 交易量
$636,490 交易量
2026-12-30
赚 3.25% 收益
是
7% 概率
$636,490 交易量
$636,490 交易量
2026-12-30
赚 3.25% 收益
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey’s executive system, and recent statements from the president and his AKP-MHP alliance signal active preparations for elections in 2027 or 2028, including possible early parliamentary action to preserve eligibility for a third term.** Opposition challenges remain constrained, with prominent figures such as Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu facing imprisonment and legal restrictions following convictions. Erdoğan continues public engagements, including recent speeches affirming continued leadership and policy priorities on security, economy, and regional issues, while allies publicly back his candidacy. No constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms indicate removal by the end of 2026, and trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% “No” price aligns with the absence of acute near-term risks to his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
交易量
$636,490结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ETThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey’s executive system, and recent statements from the president and his AKP-MHP alliance signal active preparations for elections in 2027 or 2028, including possible early parliamentary action to preserve eligibility for a third term.** Opposition challenges remain constrained, with prominent figures such as Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu facing imprisonment and legal restrictions following convictions. Erdoğan continues public engagements, including recent speeches affirming continued leadership and policy priorities on security, economy, and regional issues, while allies publicly back his candidacy. No constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms indicate removal by the end of 2026, and trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% “No” price aligns with the absence of acute near-term risks to his position.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Recep Tayyip Erdoğan ceases to be President of the Republic of Türkiye for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Recep Tayyip Erdoğan and the government of Türkiye; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$636,490结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Jul 24, 2025, 7:36 PM ET**Erdoğan’s current presidential term runs through 2028 under Turkey’s executive system, and recent statements from the president and his AKP-MHP alliance signal active preparations for elections in 2027 or 2028, including possible early parliamentary action to preserve eligibility for a third term.** Opposition challenges remain constrained, with prominent figures such as Istanbul’s former mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu facing imprisonment and legal restrictions following convictions. Erdoğan continues public engagements, including recent speeches affirming continued leadership and policy priorities on security, economy, and regional issues, while allies publicly back his candidacy. No constitutional, electoral, or institutional mechanisms indicate removal by the end of 2026, and trader consensus reflected in the 93.5% “No” price aligns with the absence of acute near-term risks to his position.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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