Trader sentiment for Chicago's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 40-43°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a daytime high near 41°F under persistent cool northerly winds and lingering cloud cover from a recent frontal passage. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread, with most members projecting peaks in the low 40s due to stable boundary layer conditions suppressing mixing, though slight differences in upper-level ridging could nudge outcomes toward 42-43°F if diurnal heating strengthens. Historical March 27 averages hover at 45°F, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps; traders eye evening model updates for resolution-defining clarity on exact bin thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?
40-41°F 22%
42-43°F 20%
38-39°F 15%
36-37°F 14%
33°F or below
5%
34-35°F
11%
36-37°F
14%
38-39°F
15%
40-41°F
22%
42-43°F
20%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
12%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
5%
52°F or higher
3%
40-41°F 22%
42-43°F 20%
38-39°F 15%
36-37°F 14%
33°F or below
5%
34-35°F
11%
36-37°F
14%
38-39°F
15%
40-41°F
22%
42-43°F
20%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
12%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
5%
52°F or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Chicago's highest temperature on March 27 clusters tightly around 40-43°F, driven by National Weather Service forecasts indicating a daytime high near 41°F under persistent cool northerly winds and lingering cloud cover from a recent frontal passage. Ensemble model runs from GFS and ECMWF show minimal spread, with most members projecting peaks in the low 40s due to stable boundary layer conditions suppressing mixing, though slight differences in upper-level ridging could nudge outcomes toward 42-43°F if diurnal heating strengthens. Historical March 27 averages hover at 45°F, but current synoptic patterns favor below-normal temps; traders eye evening model updates for resolution-defining clarity on exact bin thresholds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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