Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 64-69°F for Denver's April 5 high temperature, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 65-67°F amid a transitioning weather pattern. Following March 2026's record heat—average highs of 67.6°F versus a 55.7°F normal—a weakening upper-level ridge introduces shower risks and partial cloud cover, tempering peaks while NOAA's above-normal April temperature outlook limits cooler outliers below 62°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon solar insolation and downslope wind strength off the Front Range: GFS runs trend slightly cooler at 64-65°F with more clouds, while ECMWF favors 66-67°F under clearer skies. New 12Z runs and NWS updates today could sharpen this uncertainty as official observations resolve via Buckley Space Force Base.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 5?
66-67°F 30%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
57°F or below
2%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
5%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
9%
66-67°F
30%
68-69°F
23%
70-71°F
22%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
2%
76°F or higher
2%
66-67°F 30%
68-69°F 23%
70-71°F 22%
64-65°F 9%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
57°F or below
$264 交易量
2%
58-59°F
$149 交易量
2%
60-61°F
$156 交易量
5%
62-63°F
$125 交易量
12%
64-65°F
$294 交易量
9%
66-67°F
$239 交易量
30%
68-69°F
$531 交易量
23%
70-71°F
$275 交易量
22%
72-73°F
$125 交易量
5%
74-75°F
$120 交易量
2%
76°F or higher
$306 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 64-69°F for Denver's April 5 high temperature, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 65-67°F amid a transitioning weather pattern. Following March 2026's record heat—average highs of 67.6°F versus a 55.7°F normal—a weakening upper-level ridge introduces shower risks and partial cloud cover, tempering peaks while NOAA's above-normal April temperature outlook limits cooler outliers below 62°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon solar insolation and downslope wind strength off the Front Range: GFS runs trend slightly cooler at 64-65°F with more clouds, while ECMWF favors 66-67°F under clearer skies. New 12Z runs and NWS updates today could sharpen this uncertainty as official observations resolve via Buckley Space Force Base.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ET
交易量
$2,577结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 64-69°F for Denver's April 5 high temperature, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 65-67°F amid a transitioning weather pattern. Following March 2026's record heat—average highs of 67.6°F versus a 55.7°F normal—a weakening upper-level ridge introduces shower risks and partial cloud cover, tempering peaks while NOAA's above-normal April temperature outlook limits cooler outliers below 62°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon solar insolation and downslope wind strength off the Front Range: GFS runs trend slightly cooler at 64-65°F with more clouds, while ECMWF favors 66-67°F under clearer skies. New 12Z runs and NWS updates today could sharpen this uncertainty as official observations resolve via Buckley Space Force Base.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,577结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:17 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 64-69°F for Denver's April 5 high temperature, driven by the latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means hovering near 65-67°F amid a transitioning weather pattern. Following March 2026's record heat—average highs of 67.6°F versus a 55.7°F normal—a weakening upper-level ridge introduces shower risks and partial cloud cover, tempering peaks while NOAA's above-normal April temperature outlook limits cooler outliers below 62°F. Differentiating factors include model spread on afternoon solar insolation and downslope wind strength off the Front Range: GFS runs trend slightly cooler at 64-65°F with more clouds, while ECMWF favors 66-67°F under clearer skies. New 12Z runs and NWS updates today could sharpen this uncertainty as official observations resolve via Buckley Space Force Base.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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