Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 70°F on April 2, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which predicted moderating highs amid a post-March heat dome transition featuring northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and first measurable precipitation in 17 days capping solar heating. Historical April 2 norms hover around 60°F, but climatological analogs supported this mild rebound from March's record 87°F peak. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled NOAA archives, though observational ground truth renders such shifts improbable. Traders await final CLI report confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 2?
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$65,653 交易量
$65,653 交易量
2026-04-02
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$65,653 交易量
$65,653 交易量
2026-04-02
67°F or below
$5,670 交易量
No
68-69°F
$14,809 交易量
No
70-71°F
$6,177 交易量
Yes
72-73°F
$3,799 交易量
No
74-75°F
$7,076 交易量
No
76-77°F
$3,903 交易量
No
78-79°F
$2,986 交易量
No
80-81°F
$5,375 交易量
No
82-83°F
$4,973 交易量
No
84-85°F
$8,792 交易量
No
86°F or higher
$2,108 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 70°F on April 2, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which predicted moderating highs amid a post-March heat dome transition featuring northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and first measurable precipitation in 17 days capping solar heating. Historical April 2 norms hover around 60°F, but climatological analogs supported this mild rebound from March's record 87°F peak. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled NOAA archives, though observational ground truth renders such shifts improbable. Traders await final CLI report confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET
交易量
$65,653结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 70°F on April 2, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which predicted moderating highs amid a post-March heat dome transition featuring northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and first measurable precipitation in 17 days capping solar heating. Historical April 2 norms hover around 60°F, but climatological analogs supported this mild rebound from March's record 87°F peak. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled NOAA archives, though observational ground truth renders such shifts improbable. Traders await final CLI report confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$65,653结束日期
2026-04-02市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:14 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from the National Weather Service at Denver International Airport (KDEN) recorded a maximum temperature of 70°F on April 2, 2026, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 70-71°F outcome as the market nears resolution. This aligns with pre-event National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) forecast model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which predicted moderating highs amid a post-March heat dome transition featuring northerly winds, increased cloud cover, and first measurable precipitation in 17 days capping solar heating. Historical April 2 norms hover around 60°F, but climatological analogs supported this mild rebound from March's record 87°F peak. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from quality-controlled NOAA archives, though observational ground truth renders such shifts improbable. Traders await final CLI report confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题