National Weather Service guidance shows an approaching cold front stalling near southeast Texas on April 5, boosting scattered shower and thunderstorm chances through the afternoon, with mostly cloudy skies limiting solar heating and capping highs in the upper 60s to low 70s Fahrenheit at Houston's Hobby Airport. Trader consensus, reflected in tight implied probabilities for 68-71°F outcomes, stems from ensemble model spread—GFS and ECMWF runs diverging on front timing and precipitation coverage, where earlier arrival favors cooler 68-69°F via evaporative cooling, while delayed surge allows brief mid-afternoon peaks near 72°F under partial clearing. Current southerly winds maintain mild advection ahead of the boundary, but inherent forecast uncertainty persists ahead of evening model updates and Saturday morning soundings. Historical April norms near 78°F provide context, underscoring the front's cooling influence.