Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-83°F for Houston's highest temperature at William P. Hobby Airport on April 4, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 5-10 mph aiding daytime heating. The narrow split between 80-81°F (37.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (30%) stems from ensemble model discrepancies: GFS runs trend slightly warmer at 82-85°F with stronger boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF favors 79-82°F amid potential afternoon cumulus development capping peaks. Overnight lows near 70°F and above-normal April climatology (average 78°F) support the lean above 80°F, though sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty; watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 4?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 4?
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
4%
78-79°F
15%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
29%
84-85°F
8%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 29%
78-79°F 15%
84-85°F 8%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
71°F or below
$1,595 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$412 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$221 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$741 交易量
4%
78-79°F
$775 交易量
15%
80-81°F
$445 交易量
44%
82-83°F
$527 交易量
29%
84-85°F
$339 交易量
8%
86-87°F
$247 交易量
1%
88-89°F
$2,063 交易量
1%
90°F or higher
$1,069 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-83°F for Houston's highest temperature at William P. Hobby Airport on April 4, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 5-10 mph aiding daytime heating. The narrow split between 80-81°F (37.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (30%) stems from ensemble model discrepancies: GFS runs trend slightly warmer at 82-85°F with stronger boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF favors 79-82°F amid potential afternoon cumulus development capping peaks. Overnight lows near 70°F and above-normal April climatology (average 78°F) support the lean above 80°F, though sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty; watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ET
交易量
$8,426结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-83°F for Houston's highest temperature at William P. Hobby Airport on April 4, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 5-10 mph aiding daytime heating. The narrow split between 80-81°F (37.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (30%) stems from ensemble model discrepancies: GFS runs trend slightly warmer at 82-85°F with stronger boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF favors 79-82°F amid potential afternoon cumulus development capping peaks. Overnight lows near 70°F and above-normal April climatology (average 78°F) support the lean above 80°F, though sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty; watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,426结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:36 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 80-83°F for Houston's highest temperature at William P. Hobby Airport on April 4, driven by the National Weather Service's latest forecast of a high near 83°F under partly cloudy skies with southerly winds of 5-10 mph aiding daytime heating. The narrow split between 80-81°F (37.5% implied probability) and 82-83°F (30%) stems from ensemble model discrepancies: GFS runs trend slightly warmer at 82-85°F with stronger boundary layer mixing, while ECMWF favors 79-82°F amid potential afternoon cumulus development capping peaks. Overnight lows near 70°F and above-normal April climatology (average 78°F) support the lean above 80°F, though sea breeze timing introduces uncertainty; watch evening NWS updates for refined guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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