Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting confirmed observational data from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports via NOAA, which peaked at 16°C amid clear skies and strengthening northerly winds that capped daytime heating. This aligns with April climatological averages of 15.3°C highs for the region, influenced by cool Black Sea air masses and typical spring variability under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns—though not hurricanes, similar steering currents apply. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) or discrepancies across urban heat island stations, but model consensus and real-time airport telemetry solidify the outcome as markets near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 27?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 27?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$77,990 交易量
$77,990 交易量
2026-04-27
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$77,990 交易量
$77,990 交易量
2026-04-27
9°C or below
$830 交易量
No
10°C
$3,327 交易量
No
11°C
$1,661 交易量
No
12°C
$3,083 交易量
No
13°C
$4,524 交易量
No
14°C
$9,214 交易量
No
15°C
$19,244 交易量
No
16°C
$18,852 交易量
Yes
17°C
$8,340 交易量
No
18°C
$4,168 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$4,747 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting confirmed observational data from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports via NOAA, which peaked at 16°C amid clear skies and strengthening northerly winds that capped daytime heating. This aligns with April climatological averages of 15.3°C highs for the region, influenced by cool Black Sea air masses and typical spring variability under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns—though not hurricanes, similar steering currents apply. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) or discrepancies across urban heat island stations, but model consensus and real-time airport telemetry solidify the outcome as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
交易量
$77,990结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting confirmed observational data from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports via NOAA, which peaked at 16°C amid clear skies and strengthening northerly winds that capped daytime heating. This aligns with April climatological averages of 15.3°C highs for the region, influenced by cool Black Sea air masses and typical spring variability under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns—though not hurricanes, similar steering currents apply. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) or discrepancies across urban heat island stations, but model consensus and real-time airport telemetry solidify the outcome as markets near resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$77,990结束日期
2026-04-27市场开放时间
Apr 25, 2026, 12:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 16°C as Istanbul's highest temperature on April 27, reflecting confirmed observational data from Istanbul Airport (LTFM) METAR reports via NOAA, which peaked at 16°C amid clear skies and strengthening northerly winds that capped daytime heating. This aligns with April climatological averages of 15.3°C highs for the region, influenced by cool Black Sea air masses and typical spring variability under the Saffir-Simpson-influenced seasonal patterns—though not hurricanes, similar steering currents apply. Scenarios challenging this include rare post hoc data revisions from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) or discrepancies across urban heat island stations, but model consensus and real-time airport telemetry solidify the outcome as markets near resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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