August's climatological norms in Jinan place typical daily highs well above 26°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with official long-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing no significant cool-air intrusions or frontal passages through the 20th. Ensemble model consensus reinforces this baseline, producing low probability of sub-26°C maxima given persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover expected. Trader positioning at 99.4% for 26°C or higher therefore reflects alignment between historical August statistics and current forecast runs rather than any acute event. A realistic shift would require an unseasonal northerly surge or rapid cyclogenesis, neither of which appears in the latest model suites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日济南气温最高？
8月20日济南气温最高？
26°C or higher 99.4%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
20°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
99%
26°C or higher 99.4%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
20°C <1%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
16°C or below
$325 交易量
<1%
17°C
$325 交易量
<1%
18°C
$325 交易量
<1%
19°C
$346 交易量
<1%
20°C
$348 交易量
<1%
21°C
$327 交易量
<1%
22°C
$225 交易量
<1%
23°C
$260 交易量
<1%
24°C
$180 交易量
<1%
25°C
$165 交易量
<1%
26°C or higher
$897 交易量
99%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.August's climatological norms in Jinan place typical daily highs well above 26°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with official long-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing no significant cool-air intrusions or frontal passages through the 20th. Ensemble model consensus reinforces this baseline, producing low probability of sub-26°C maxima given persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover expected. Trader positioning at 99.4% for 26°C or higher therefore reflects alignment between historical August statistics and current forecast runs rather than any acute event. A realistic shift would require an unseasonal northerly surge or rapid cyclogenesis, neither of which appears in the latest model suites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
交易量
$3,723结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.August's climatological norms in Jinan place typical daily highs well above 26°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with official long-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing no significant cool-air intrusions or frontal passages through the 20th. Ensemble model consensus reinforces this baseline, producing low probability of sub-26°C maxima given persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover expected. Trader positioning at 99.4% for 26°C or higher therefore reflects alignment between historical August statistics and current forecast runs rather than any acute event. A realistic shift would require an unseasonal northerly surge or rapid cyclogenesis, neither of which appears in the latest model suites.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,723结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 19, 2026, 12:55 AM ETAugust's climatological norms in Jinan place typical daily highs well above 26°C under the influence of the East Asian monsoon and subtropical high-pressure systems, with official long-range guidance from agencies such as the China Meteorological Administration showing no significant cool-air intrusions or frontal passages through the 20th. Ensemble model consensus reinforces this baseline, producing low probability of sub-26°C maxima given persistent warm advection and minimal cloud cover expected. Trader positioning at 99.4% for 26°C or higher therefore reflects alignment between historical August statistics and current forecast runs rather than any acute event. A realistic shift would require an unseasonal northerly surge or rapid cyclogenesis, neither of which appears in the latest model suites.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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