Recent short-term forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a daytime high of 30–32°C in Jinan on September 23 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions driven by a lingering warm air mass and light southerly flow. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold, consistent with late-September climatology before a cooler pattern arrives later in the week. Minimal precipitation risk and stable high-pressure influence further support elevated maxima, with limited model spread reducing downside uncertainty. Traders have priced this consensus into the 86% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting real-time aggregation of observational trends and numerical guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月23日济南气温最高?
26℃或更高 99%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
17°C 3%
16°C及以下
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26℃或更高
99%
26℃或更高 99%
22°C 4%
23°C 4%
17°C 3%
16°C及以下
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26℃或更高
99%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-term forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project a daytime high of 30–32°C in Jinan on September 23 under partly cloudy to sunny conditions driven by a lingering warm air mass and light southerly flow. This places the outcome comfortably above the 26°C threshold, consistent with late-September climatology before a cooler pattern arrives later in the week. Minimal precipitation risk and stable high-pressure influence further support elevated maxima, with limited model spread reducing downside uncertainty. Traders have priced this consensus into the 86% implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting real-time aggregation of observational trends and numerical guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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